Hey guys, I'm thinking about to switching to Fideilty. I only have 1k to trade with, but I was wondering if I can still apply for a margin account. I know that on the website it tells you to get 2k to trade with a margin account, but I'm not interested in using margin. I just hate being restricted by cash accounts making you wait 2 days to settle your funds. I know that Robinhood and webull let you trade with the PDT rule and instantly settled funds if you have under 2k, but you cannot use margin. Im hoping fidelity does the same, but I cannot find this anywhere online. Could someone please tell me if fidelity does this? Thanks a lot submitted by
Became a Humble Monthly subscriber years ago, got a handful of games I liked so I've never cancelled it. Now I'm stuck with a ton of other games I didn't want to play, already had cause of them Steam sales, or just won't ever have the time for.
So I'm giving away all of the (Steam) keys for the games listed below. Just comment which game you'd like and why. I'll randomly select at the end, unless your reason 1. makes me blow air through my nose harder than I thought possible or 2. moves my cold, dark heart.
Closes on October, 19th 2 PM Hawaii time! Cause I'm 10 hours behind UTC and I have to work. Also formatting might be messed up cause I cut/paste from Google Sheets so excuse any accidentally combined titles and let me know.
*edit: fixed a few titles. Specially the entry for a Elite Sniper, it’s V2 not 5. The 2 got stuck to SOMA. And yes you can enter for multiple, entries are considered on a per game basis!
*edit 2: Woke up thinking I could reply back to everyone entering, but that’s a lot! Good luck to all, this will be open for 8 more hours as it’s 6:00 AM. And if anyone decided to be that person and enter for all 300+ games, you’ll get 10 random games cause I’m a giveaway noob who didn’t consider that.
*edit 3: Giveaway is closed! Thanks for all the participation even though I grossly underestimated how much that would be. Just waiting on the mods to flair it appropriately. DoctorJunglist is the final entry I’ll accept due to the slight delay as I finished work. I’ll start going through all the entries as soon as I get to my PC. Hope I can have everyone’s patience as I do so and work on sending out prizes.
*edit 4: Mods were able to flair it as expired so it’s official. Worked on sorting entries for a few hours today and I’ll probably start sending out codes for the smaller titles tomorrow, once again after work.
*edit 5: For anyone still checking on updates!! I decided “edit 4” above was too preemptive. Went through more entries today and it’s unpredictable what games won’t be requested. I’m down to the last maybe 100-300 entries so rewards will be out soon. Let’s see how many more people want to be hurt so good by DS.
*edit 6: Well that sure took a long time. I've finally finished sorting through all the valid entries and have begun sending out prizes. They're being sent out in private messages as Humble gift links and I'll be updating the list as I go along with who's won. All prizes should be awarded by tomorrow evening at the current rate I'm going at.
*edit 7: I did not know editing a post removes it from the subreddit listing. Yes I am a Reddit noob. I'll add all the winner once they've all been selected then. Thanks to u/Neryuslu
for the heads up.
*edit 8: Got caught up playing Outer Worlds and Yakuza. Enjoying both a ton, so much so that I forgot to update this. Giveaway is basically over, all games that were entered for have been awarded! Will update this list with winners soon. All remaining games will either be awarded to the random few who said they’ll take any game, put into another giveaway with a longer entry period, or key dumped into another post. Thanks for everyone’s participation and kind words, I definitely won’t ever be doing this again! At least not at this scale, so look forward to monthly giveaways instead as I do one for every Humble Monthly I get.
*edit 9: IT'S DONE. All games entered for awarded and winners listed next to them. To explain how I picked out winners, first off I almost always disqualified entries that didn't follow my one rule, pick a game AND give me a reason why you want it.
I read every single comment here to see who followed that and put them down on a list for each game. The only exceptions were games that had zero entrants following that rule. Then it went to two chances, either I was moved by your comment in some way or you were picked through a random name picker. Congrats to all those who won and better luck next time for those who didn't. Happy gaming to all regardless, now let me get back to mine.
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I just opened an account with Fidelity and I have been getting two different answers everywhere on the question: On a cash account with Fidelity (NOT MARGIN) am I allowed to make more than 3 day trades in a 5 business day period? submitted by
Under FINRA and SEC it says only margin accounts have to watch out for PTD rule and cash account have to worry about good faith, free riding etc. Everywhere else says that cash accounts do not have to follow PTD rule but once in a while I get an article saying the exact opposite. On the Fidelity website it says margin accounts can't make more than 3 day trades a week without $25,000 but cash accounts are "SUBJECT TO A DIFFERENT SET OF REGULATIONS".... which I can not find.
Someone please tell me the answer thank you.
So here it is, three more days and October begins, which marks one year of trading for me. I figured I would contribute to the forum and share some of my experience, a little about me, and what I've learned so far. Whoever wants to listen, that's great. This might get long so buckle up..
Three years ago, I was visiting Toronto. I don't get out much, but my roommate at the time travels there occasionally. He asked everyone at our place if we wanted to come along for a weekend. My roommate has an uncle that lives there and we didn't have to worry about a hotel because his uncle owns a small house that's unlived in which we could stay at. I was the only one to go with. Anyways, we walk around the city, seeing the sights and whatnot.
My friend says to me "where next?"
"I don't know, you're the tour guide"
"We can go check out Bay Street"
"what's 'Bay Street?'"
"It's like the Canadian Wall street! If you haven't seen it you gotta see it!"
Walking along Bay, I admire all the nice buildings and architecture, everything seems larger than life to me. I love things like that. The huge granite facades with intricate designs and towering pillars to make you think, How the fuck did they make that?
My attention pivots to a man walking on the sidewalk opposite us. His gait stood out among everyone, he walked with such a purpose.. He laughed into the cell phone to his ear. In the elbow-shoving city environment, he moved with a stride that exuded a power which not only commanded respect, but assumed it. I bet HE can get a text back, hell he's probably got girls waiting on him.
This dude was dressed to kill, a navy suit that you could just tell from across the street was way out of my budget, it was a nice fucking suit. I want that.
His life, across the street, seemed a world a way from my own. I've worn a suit maybe twice
in my life. For my first communion, it was too big for me, I was eleven or whatever so who gives a shit, right? I'm positive I looked ridiculous. The other time?
I can't remember. I want that. I want the suit.
I want the wealth
, the independence. I want the respect and power, and I don't give a shit what anyone thinks about it.
Cue self doubt. Well, He's probably some rich banker's son. That's a world you're born into. I don't know shit about it. \
sigh* keep walking..*
A year later, I'm visiting my parents at their house, they live an hour away from my place. My dad is back from Tennessee, his engineering job was laying people off and he got canned... Or he saw the end was near and just left... I don't know, hard to pay attention to the guy honestly because he kind of just drones on and on. ("Wait, so your mom lives in Michigan, but your dad moved to Tennessee... for a job?"
Yea man, I don't fucking know, not going to touch on that one.)
The whole project was a shit show that was doomed to never get done, the way he tells it. And he's obviously jaded from multiple similar experiences at other life-sucking engineer jobs. My mom is a retired nurse practitioner who no longer works because of her illness. I ask him what he's doing for work now and he tells me he trades stocks from home. I didn't even know you could do that. I didn't know "trading" was a thing. I thought you just invest and hope for the best.
"Oh that's cool, how much money do you need to do that?"
"Ehh, most say you need at least $25,000 as a minimum"
"Oh... guess I can't do that..."
Six months later, I get a call and it's my dad. We talk a little about whatever. Off topic, he starts asking if I'm happy doing what I'm doing (I was a painter, commercial and residential) I tell him yes but it's kind of a pain in the ass and I don't see it as a long term thing. Then he gets around to asking if I'd like to come work with him. He basically pitches it to me. I'm not one to be sold on something, I'm always skeptical. So I ask all the questions that any rational person would ask and he just swats them away with reassuring phrases. He was real confident about it. But basically he says for this to work, I have to quit my job and move back home so he can teach me how to trade and be by my side so I don't do anything stupid. "
My Name , you can make so much money."
I say that I can't raise the $25,000 because I'm not far above just living paycheck to paycheck. "I can help you out with that." Wow, okay, well... let me think about it.
My "maybe" very soon turned into a "definitely." So over the next six months, I continue to work my day job painting, and I try to save up what I could for the transition (it wasn't a whole lot, I sucked at saving. I was great at spending though!). My dad gives me a book on day trading (which I will mention later) and I teach myself what I can about the stock market using Investopedia. Also in the meantime, my dad sends me encouraging emails. He tells me to think of an annual income I would like to make as a trader, and used "more than $100,000 but less than a million" as a guideline. He tells me about stocks that he traded that day or just ones that moved and describes the basic price action and the prices to buy and sell at. Basically saying "if you bought X amount of shares here and sold it at X price here, you could make a quick 500 bucks!" I then use a trading sim to trade those symbols and try to emulate what he says. Piece of cake. ;) Wow, that's way more than what I make in a day.
He tells me not to tell anyone about my trading because most people just think it's gambling. "Don't tell your Mom either."
He says most people who try this fail because they don't know how to stop out and take a loss. He talks about how every day he was in a popular chatroom, some noob would say something like, "Hey guys, I bought at X price (high of day or thereabout), my account is down 80% .. uhh I'm waiting for it to come back to my entry price.. what do I do??" Well shit, I'm not that fucking dumb. If that's all it takes to make it is to buy low, sell high, and always respect a stop then I'll be fantastic.
By the end of September, I was very determined. I had been looking forward everyday to quitting my painting job because while it used to be something I loved, it was just sucking the life out of me at this point. Especially working commercial, you just get worked like a dog. I wasn't living up to my potential with that job and I felt awful for it every minute of every day. I knew that I needed a job where I could use my brain instead of slaving my body to fulfill someone else's dream. "Someone's gotta put gas in the boss's boat"
That's a line my buddy once said that he probably doesn't know sticks with me to this day. It ain't me.
So now it was October 2018, and I'm back living with Mom n' Pops. I was so determined that on my last day of work I gave away all of my painting tools to my buddy like, "here, I don't need this shit." Moving out of my rental was easy because I don't own much, 'can't take it with ya.' Excited for the future I now spend my days bundled up in winter wear in the cold air of our hoarder-like basement with a space heater at my feet. My laptop connected to a TV monitor, I'm looking at stocks next to my dad and his screens in his cluttered corner. Our Trading Dungeon.
I don't trade any money, (I wasn't aware of any real-time sim programs) I just watch and learn from my dad. Now you've got to keep in mind, and look at a chart of the S&P, this is right at the beginning of Oct '18, I came in right at the market top. Right at the start of the shit-show. For the next three or four weeks, I watch my dad pretty much scratch on every trade, taking small loss after small loss, and cursing under his breath at the screen.
"dammit." Click. "shit." Click. Click. "you fuck."
This gets really fucking annoying as time goes on, for weeks, and I get this attitude like ugh, just let me do it. I'll make us some fucking money.
So I convince him to let me start trading live. I didn't know anything about brokers so I set up an account using his broker, which was Fidelity. It was a pain and I had to jump through a lot of hoops to be able to day trade with this broker. I actually had to make a joint account with my dad as I couldn't get approved for margin because my credit score is shit (never owned a credit card) and my net worth, not much. Anyways, they straight up discourage day trading and I get all kinds of warning messages with big red letters that made me shit myself like oooaaahhh what the fuck did I do now. Did I forget to close a position?? Did I fat finger an order? Am I now in debt for thousands of dollars to Fidelity?? They're going to come after me like they came after Madoff.
Even after you are approved for PDT you still get these warning messages in your account. Some would say if I didn't comply with "whatever rule" they'd even suspend my account for 60 days. It was ridiculous, hard to describe because it doesn't make sense, and it took the support guy on the phone a good 20 minutes to explain it to me. Basically I got the answer "yea it's all good, you did nothing wrong. As long as you have the cash in your account to cover whatever the trade balance was" So I just kept getting these warnings that I had to ignore everyday. I hate Fidelity.
My fist day trading, I made a few so-so trades and then I got impatient. I saw YECO breaking out and I chased, soon realized I chased, so I got out. -$500. Shit, I have to make that back, I don't want my dad to see this.
Got back in. Shit.
-$400. So my first day trading, I lost $900. My dumbass was using market orders so that sure didn't help. I reeled the risk back and traded more proper position size for a while, but the commissions for a round trip are $10, so taking six trades per day, I'm losing $60 at a minimum on top of my losing trades. Quickly I realized I didn't know what the hell I was doing. What about my dad? Does HE know?
One day, in the trading dungeon, I was frustrated with the experience I'd been having and just feeling lost overall. I asked him.
"So, are you consistently profitable?"
"mmm... I do alright."
"Yea but like, are you consistently profitable over time?"
"I do alright." Silence.
"Do you know
any consistently profitable traders?"
"Well the one who wrote that book I gave you, Tina Turner.. umm and there's Ross Cameron"
"So you don't know any consistently profitable traders, personally.. People who are not trying to sell you something?"
................... Holy fucking shit, what did this idiot get me into. He can't even say it to my face and admit it.
This entire life decision, quitting my job, leaving my rental, moving from my city to back home, giving shit away, it all relied on that. I was supposed to be an apprentice to a consistently profitable day trader who trades for a living.
It was so assumed, that I never even thought to ask! Why would you tell your son to quit his job for something that you yourself cannot do? Is this all a scam? Did my dad get sold a DREAM? Did I buy into some kind of ponzi scheme? How many of those winning trades he showed me did he actually take? Are there ANY consistently profitable DAY TRADERS who TRADE FOR A LIVING? Why do 90% fail? Is it because the other 10% are scamming the rest in some way?
Completely lost, I just had no clue what was what. If I was going to succeed at this, if it was even possible
to succeed at this, it was entirely up to me. I had to figure it out. I still remember the feeling like an overwhelming, crushing weight on me as it all sunk in. This is going to be a big deal..
I'm not the type to give up though. In that moment, I said to myself, I'm going to fucking win at this. I don't know if this is possible, but I'm going to find out. I cannot say with certainty that I will succeed, but no matter what, I will not give up. I'm going to give all of myself to this. I will find the truth.
It was a deep moment for me. I don't like getting on my soapbox, but when I said those things, I meant it. I really, really meant it. I still do, and I still will.
Now it might seem like I'm being hard on my dad. He has done a lot for me and I am very grateful for that. We're sarcastic as hell to each other, I love the bastard. Hell, I wouldn't have the opportunity to trade at all if not for him. But maybe you can also understand how overwhelmed I felt at that time. Not on purpose, of course he means well. But I am not a trusting person at all and I was willing to put trust into him after all the convincing and was very disappointed when I witnessed the reality of the situation. I would have structured this transition to trading differently, you don't just quit your job and start trading.
Nobody was there to tell me that! I was told quite the opposite. I'm glad it happened anyway, so fuck it. I heard Kevin O'Leary once say, "If I knew in the beginning how difficult starting a business was, I don't know that I ever would've started."
This applies very much to my experience.
So what did I do? Well like everyone I read and read and Googled and Youtube'd my ass off. I sure as hell didn't pay for a course because I didn't have the money and I'm like 99% sure I would be disappointed by whatever they were teaching as pretty much everything can be found online or in books for cheap or free. Also I discovered Thinkorswim and I used that to sim trade in real-time for three months. This is way the hell different than going on a sim at 5x speed and just clicking a few buy and sell buttons. Lol, useless. When you sim trade in real-time you're forced to have a routine, and you're forced to experience missing trades with no chance to rewind or skip the boring parts. That's a step up because you're "in it". I also traded real money too, made some, lost more than I made. went back to sim. Traded live again, made some but lost more, fell back to PDT. Dad fronted me more cash. This has happened a few times. He's dug me out of some holes because he believes in me. I'm fortunate.
Oh yeah, about that book my dad gave me. It's called A Beginner's Guide to Day Trading Online by Toni Turner. This book... is shit. This was supposed to be my framework for how to trade and I swear it's like literally nothing in this book fucking works lol. I could tell this pretty early on, intuitively, just by looking at charts. It's basically a buy-the-breakout type strategy, if you want to call it a strategy. No real methodology to anything just vague crap and showing you cherry-picked charts with entries that are way too late. With experience in the markets you will eventually come to find that MOST BREAKOUTS FAIL. It talks about support/resistance lines and describes them as, "picture throwing a ball down at the floor, it bounces up and then it bounces down off the ceiling, then back up." So many asinine assumptions. These ideas are a text book way of how to trade like dumb money. Don't get me wrong, these trades can work but you need to be able to identify the setups which are more probable and identify reasons not to take others. So I basically had to un-learn all that shit.
Present day, I have a routine in place. I'm out of the dungeon and trade by myself in my room. I trade with a discount broker that is catered to day traders and doesn't rape me on commissions. My mornings have a framework for analyzing the news and economic events of the particular day, I journal so that I can recognize what I'm doing right and where I need to improve. I record my screens for later review to improve my tape reading skills. I am actually tracking my trades now and doing backtesting in equities as well as forex. I'm not a fast reader but I do read a lot, as much as I can. So far I have read about 17-18 books on trading and psychology. I've definitely got a lot more skilled at trading.
As of yet I am not net profitable. Writing that sounds like selling myself short though, honestly. Because a lot of my trades are very good and are executed well. I have talent. However, lesser quality trades and trades which are inappropriately sized/ attempted too many times bring down that P/L. I'm not the type of trader to ignore a stop, I'm more the trader that just widdles their account down with small losses. I trade live because at this point, sim has lost its value, live trading is the ultimate teacher. So I do trade live but I just don't go big like I did before, I keep it small.
I could show you trades that I did great on and make people think I'm killing it but I really just don't need the validation. I don't care, I'm real about it. I just want to get better. I don't need people to think I'm a genius, I'm just trying to make some money.
Psychologically, to be honest with you, I currently feel beaten down and exhausted. I put a lot of energy into this, and sometimes I work myself physically sick, it's happened multiple times. About once a week, usually Saturday, I get a headache that lasts all day. My body's stress rebound mechanism you might call it. Getting over one of those sick periods now, which is why I barely even traded this week. I know I missed a lot of volatility this week and some A+ setups but I really just don't give a shit lol. I just currently don't have the mental capital, I think anyone who's been day trading every day for a year or more can understand what I mean by that. I'm still being productive though. Again, I'm not here to present an image of some badass trader, just keeping it real. To give something 100% day after day while receiving so much resistance, it takes a toll on you. So a break is necessary to avoid making bad trading decisions. That being said, I'm progressing more and more and eliminating those lesser quality trades and identifying my bad habits. I take steps to control those habits and strengthen my good habits such as having a solid routine, doing review and market research, taking profits at the right times, etc.
So maybe I can give some advice to some that are new to day trading, those who are feeling lost, or just in general thinking "...What the fuck..."
I thought that every night for the first 6 months lol.
First of all, manage expectations.
If you read my story of how I came to be a trader, you can see I had a false impression of trading in many aspects. Give yourself a realistic time horizon to how progress should be made. Do not set a monetary goal for yourself, or any time-based goal that is measured in your P/L. If you tell yourself, "I want to make X per day, X per week, or X per year"
you're setting yourself up to feel like shit every single day when it's clear as the blue sky that you won't reach that goal anytime soon. As a matter of fact, it will appear you are moving further AWAY from that goal if you just focus on your P/L, which brings me to my next point. You will lose money.
In the beginning, most likely, you will lose money. I did it, you'll do it, the greatest Paul Tudor Jones did it. Trading is a skill that needs to be developed, and it is a process. Just look at it as paying your tuition to the market. Sim is fine but don't assume you have acquired this skill until you are adept at trading real money. So when you do make that leap, just trade small. Just survive.
Trade small. get the experience. Protect your capital. To reach break even on your bottom line is a huge accomplishment. In many ways, experience and screen time are the secret sauce. Have a routine.
This is very important. I actually will probably make a more in-depth post in the future about this if people want it. When I first started, I was overwhelmed with the feeling "What the fuck am I supposed to DO?"
I felt lost. There's no boss to tell you how to be productive or how to find the right stocks, which is mostly a blessing, but a curse for new traders. All that shit you see, don't believe all that bullshit.
You know what I'm talking about. The bragposting, the clickbait Youtube videos, the ads preying on you. "I made X amount of money in a day and I'm fucking 19 lolz look at my Lamborghini" It's all a gimmick to sell you the dream. It's designed to poke right at your insecurities, that's marketing at it's finest. As for the bragposting on forums honestly, who cares. And I'm not pointing fingers on this forum, just any trading forum in general. They are never adding anything of value to the community in their posts. They never say this is how I did it.
No, they just want you to think they're a genius. I can show you my $900 day trading the shit out of TSLA, but that doesn't tell the whole story. Gamblers never show you when they lose, you might never hear from those guys again because behind the scenes, they over-leveraged themselves and blew up. Some may actually be consistently profitable and the trades are 100% legit.
That's fantastic. But again, I don't care, and you shouldn't either. You shouldn't compare yourself to others. "Everyone's a genius in a bull market"
Here's the thing.. Markets change. Edges disappear. Trading strategies were made by traders who traded during times when everything they did worked. Buy all the breakouts? Sure! It's the fucking tech bubble! Everything works!
I'm sure all those typical setups used to work fantastically at some point in time. But the more people realize them, the less effective they are. SOMEONE has to be losing money on the opposite side of a winning trade
, and who's willing to do that when the trade is so obvious? That being said, some things are obvious AND still work. Technical analysis works... sometimes. The caveat to that is, filters. You need to, in some way, filter out certain setups from others. For example, you could say, "I won't take a wedge pattern setup on an intraday chart unless it is in a higher time frame uptrend, without nearby resistance, and trading above average volume with news on that day." Have a plan.
If you can't describe your plan, you don't have one. Think in probabilities. You should think entirely in "if, then" scenarios. If X has happens, then Y will probably happen. "If BABA breaks this premarket support level on the open I will look for a pop up to short into." Backtest.
Most traders lose mainly because they think they have an edge but they don't. You read these books and all this stuff online telling you "this is a high probability setup" but do you know that for a fact? There's different ways to backtest, but I think the best way for a beginner is manual backtesting with a chart and an excel sheet. This builds up that screen time and pattern recognition faster. This video
shows how to do that. Once I saw
someone do it, it didn't seem so boring and awful as I thought it was. Intelligence is not enough.
You're smarter than most people, that's great, but that alone is not enough to make you money in trading necessarily. Brilliant people try and fail at this all the time, lawyers, doctors, surgeons, engineers.. Why do they fail if they're so smart?
It's all a fucking scam.
No, a number of reasons, but the biggest is discipline
and emotional intelligence. Journal every day.
K no thanks, bro. That's fucking gay.
That's how I felt when I heard this advice but really that is pride and laziness talking. This is the process you need to do to learn what works for you and what doesn't. Review the trades you took, what your plan was, what actually happened, how you executed. Identify what you did well and what you can work on. This is how you develop discipline
and emotional intelligence,
by monitoring yourself. How you feel physically and mentally, and how these states affect your decision-making. Always be learning.
Read as much as you can. Good quality books. Here's the best I've read so far;
Market Wizards -Jack Schwager
One Good Trade -Mike Bellafiore
The Daily Trading Coach -Bret Steenbarger
Psycho-cybernetics -Maxwell Maltz
Why You Win or Lose -Fred Kelly
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis -Adam Grimes
Dark Pools -Scott Patterson Be nimble.
Everyday I do my research on the symbols I'm trading and the fundamental news that's driving them. I might be trading a large cap that's gapping up with a beat on EPS and revenue and positive guidance. But if I see that stock pop up and fail miserably on the open amidst huge selling pressure, and I look and see the broader market tanking, guess what, I'm getting short, and that's just day trading. The movement of the market, on an intraday timeframe, doesn't have to make logical sense. Adapt.
In March I used to be able to buy a breakout on a symbol and swing it for the majority of the day. In the summer I was basically scalping on the open and being done for the day. Volatility changes, and so do my profit targets. Be accountable. Be humble. Be honest.
I take 100% responsibility for every dime I've lost or made in the market. It's not the market makers fault, it wasn't the HFTs, I pressed the button.
I know my bad habits and I know my good habits.. my strengths/ my weaknesses. Protect yourself from toxicity.
Stay away from traders and people on forums who just have that negative mindset. That "can't be done" mentality.
Day trading is a scam!!
It can certainly be done.
Prove it, you bastard.
I'm posting to this particular forum because I don't see much of that here and apparently the mods to a good job of not tolerating it. As the mod wrote in the rules, they're most likely raging from a loss. Also, the Stocktwits mentality of "AAPL is going to TANK on the open! $180, here we come. $$$" , or the grandiose stories, "I just knew
AMZN was going to go up on earnings. I could feel it.
I went ALL IN. Options money, baby! ka-ching!$" Lol, that is so toxic to a new trader. Get away from that. How will you be able to remain nimble when this is your thought process? Be good to yourself.
Stop beating yourself up. You're an entrepreneur. You're boldly going where no man has gone before.
You've got balls.
Acknowledge your mistakes, don't identify with them. You are not your mistakes and you are not your bad habits
. These are only things that you do
, and you can take action necessary to do them less.
It doesn't matter what people think. Maybe they think you're a fool, a gambler. You don't need their approval. You don't need to talk to your co-workers and friends about it to satisfy some subconscious plea for guidance; is this a good idea? You don't need anyone's permission to become the person you want to be.
They don't believe in you? Fuck 'em. I believe in you.
I’m currently holding a long put butterfly on SPX. Once my open position settled Fidelity issued me a margin call for the written puts I have in the middle due to them being naked. Is this right? I get what they’re saying but people have told me with a butterfly margin isn’t needed and that I cannot be assigned on the shorts until expiration (August 16). If they’re right I’m going to close in the morning but wanted to check because it feels off submitted by
An investing guide I made for some of my friends. Building a Balanced Portfolio Stock vs Bonds Bonds:
Fixed interest rate, plus repayment of initial investment after a fixed period. Stocks:
Partial ownership of a company.
Bonds are issued by both companies and governments. When you hear the government is $23 trillion in debt, it means it issued $23 trillion in bonds it has to pay back. Advantages of bonds:
-Safety. Fixed rate of return. Treasury bonds have historically averaged 5-6% return, although today's treasury bonds yield 2-3%.-Advantage in bankruptcy. When a company goes bankrupt bondholders have priority over stockholders. Typically in bankruptcy a new company gets created, where existing stockholders are wiped out and bondholders are issued shares in the new company.-Perform well during recessions. Treasury bonds gained 20% during the 2008 crash: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodaNew_Home_Page/datafile/histretSP.html https://imgur.com/JBQjgIu Advantages of stocks:
-Voting rights. Stockholders get to vote on board of directors.
-Ownership of all profits after bondholders are paid. Profits are returned through dividends. Sometimes for tax reasons companies also return money by buying back stock, which raises the stock price.
-Historically have a higher rate of return (average of 9% annually since 1980). Future yields are expected by many people to be lower. https://imgur.com/aFkI4FE It's safest to own both stocks and bonds!
Suppose you were of retirement age in 2007 with $2 million in savings. When the market dropped > 50% (Dow went from about 14,400 to 6,700) you would be very tempted to sell at the bottom. If instead you owned half bonds and half stocks, your bonds would have gained in value by 20%, which means your overall portfolio would only have dropped by 15%. More importantly, you would be able to sell your bonds and buy stocks when the market was at its lowest. A good rule of thumb is to always own half stocks and half bonds, and to rebalance your portfolio back to 50/50 at a specific date each year. This will force you to sell stocks when they are high and buy them when they're low. If you're younger you may prefer a slightly riskier portfolio with more stocks and less bonds, and older people closer to retirement are often advised to hold a higher proportion of bonds. Diversification:
Not putting all your eggs in one basket. Takes the stress out of investing, which means you make better decisions. Mutual Funds vs ETFs Mutual Fund:
Professional money managers that invest for you, usually for a 2% annual fee. Never invest in a mutual fund if you can help it! That 2% fee will compound to 50% over a 20 year period. Mutual funds have been shown to consistently underperform the market. ETF: Exchange traded fund.
A basket of stocks or bonds. ETFs charge much lower fees than mutual funds.
SPY: An ETF that mirrors the average performance or the top 500 traded US stocks. Expense ratio is 0.1% annually.
GOVT: Tracks US government bonds, with an expense ratio of 0.15% annually. Simple Investment plan
If you want a stress-free investment plan that tracks the overall market, open up an account somewhere (I use Fidelity) and put half your money in SPY and half of it in GOVT. Be sure to set up a calendar event each year to remind yourself to rebalance between these two. Valuing Stocks
For most people, trying to pick winning stocks is a poor use of time versus buying an ETF. Most stocks have been closely scrutinized by an army of professional stock analysts who usually have done more research than we are willing to do. On the other hand, picking stocks can be a lot of fun!
Take Ford as an example. I crossed out the chart and the stock price because I think it's more important to look at a company's financials. A company can still be relatively cheap even after it has gone up significantly, or expensive even though it has dropped. https://imgur.com/8e2zrB6 Stock Price
: Cost per share. Means absolutely nothing, since the number of shares issued is arbitrary. Market Cap:
The cost of buying all the shares in the company. Dividend Yield:
Annual return on investment from dividend payments. P/E Ratio:
Price to Earnings ratio. Specifically, it is market cap divided by last year's net income (i.e. profit). Intuitively, if you bought the whole company, it is the number of years of profit you would need to receive until your investment paid for itself.
P/E ratio is the most important metric to consider. Historically 15 was an average P/E ratio for a company, although today 20 is average. See https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart Growth Companies
A company is considered a "growth company" if it has a history of growing rapidly (say > 20% a year). Investors are willing to pay more for growth companies because they expect income to continue growing. Typically, investors may be willing to buy a company at a P/E ratio of 30-40 if it has a solid prospects of future growth.
For an example of a growth company, check out Twilio's financials on Yahoo finance: https://imgur.com/QeFPFyd
Twilio is a giant money pit: It lost $263 million in the last 12 months! However, it's revenues have increased by 50% every year, so investors are willing to pay a fortune for it: https://imgur.com/SloY6PI
(Note there is no P/E ratio, since earnings are negative). The takeaway is that investors are willing to pay $14 billion for a company that loses $263 million a year on $1 billion in revenue. This is only because their revenue has increased 50% for the past several years (and Twilio is a tech stock, which tend to be overpriced). When evaluating a stock like this, consider what the company would have to do in the next five years to justify this valuation. For Twilio to have a P/E ratio of 30 (which would be normal for a tech stock), it will need to make $500 million a year within five years. Furthermore, if you buy a stock like this you don't expect it to simply justify its valuation but to double in value, which means investors are expecting it to make $1 billion a year in profits within the next five years. This would require Twilio to both turn its profit margin from -25% to something healthy like 20%, and then to increase its sales from $1 billion to $5 billion. High priced-in expectations like this make growth companies like Twilio very risky. Personally, I avoid growth companies. Value Companies
Companies that are selling at a discount, usually because they aren't growing rapidly. Although the business may be in trouble, the stock is being sold cheap enough that it may be safer to purchase than a growth company. Take a look at the department store Macy's, which has scared investors off since retail is in decline: https://imgur.com/K8iRBAS
Notice that revenue has declined about 6% over the past 4 years, and net income has held steady. Also notice that profit margin is only about 4%, which means it would only take a small drop in fortune for net income to become negative. Were that to happen, would this company pose a bankruptcy risk? Let's check out the balance sheet: https://imgur.com/ezMrjQB
Macy's only has $4.6 Billion in debt, which isn't too high compared to $26 Billion in sales and $1 Billion annual profit.
In summary, Macy's is facing slightly declining sales but has consistent profit, and has low debt. There appears to be little bankruptcy risk over the next several years, even though revenue is declining. https://imgur.com/qCR75lL
The company is selling at a P/E ratio of 5, compared to the market average of 20! This means if you bought the company at its current price (5.1 Billion) you would make back your investment in 5 years. The company is also paying out a 9% dividend. Even if you expect Macy's to continue to decline in revenue, you can make a strong case that this is a good investment based on the low P/E ratio. Even if retail continues to decline, Macy's should, (to some extent) be able to keep a positive profit margin by closing down unprofitable stores and leaving the profitable ones open.
If you want to learn more about how to value stocks, research the Discounted Cash Flow model.
-Picking your own stocks is riskier, more time-consuming and stressful than buying a basket of stocks (an ETF). I only do it because I enjoy it.
-Keep an even balance between stocks and bonds.
-Prefer ETFs to mutual funds.
-Stock price is an arbitrary number, since companies have different numbers of shares outstanding. A stock priced at $10 could have a higher market cap than another stock priced at $100.
-When valuing a company, P/E ratio is a critical number. Growth companies demand P/E ratios, value companies have lower ratios. Currently the average P/E ratio for a stock is 20.
-Ignore stock market news. These days the stock market goes up and down because of algorithmic trading, not because of the reasons financial reporters talk about.
Note: Repeatedly liquidating securities to cover a federal call while below exchange requirements may result in restrictions on margin trading in the account. Time allowed: 4 business days. Fidelity reserves the right to meet margin calls in your account at any time without prior notice. Day trade Margin trading entails greater risk, including, but not limited to, risk of loss and incurrence of margin interest debt, and is not suitable for all investors. Please assess your financial circumstances and risk tolerance before trading on margin. Margin credit is extended by National Financial Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. Fidelity Pattern Day Trading Rule Pattern day trading rules at Fidelity. Active trader PDT requirements for margin and cash accounts above/below $25,000 balance. How many day trades does Fidelity allow. What is Margin Trading? Margin trading is a term that is a concept that allows traders to invest using borrowed money. The best way to explain margin trading is to use an example. Assume that you had $10,000 and you want to invest in Amazon stock that is trading at $1,800. In this situation, you can use your $10,000 to buy 5.5 shares. Nevertheless, the same customer has generated financial risk throughout the day. The day-trading margin rules address this risk by imposing a margin requirement for day trading that is calculated based on a day trader's largest open position (in dollars) during the day, rather than on his or her open positions at the end of the day.
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