Cryptocurrency Investing vs Trading: Explained

Ghostnodes India's Supreme Court Hears Crypto Exchanges vs. Central Bank of Russia and Relex Bithumb to Hold On Cryptocurrency Trading Platform for Bitcoin Mining?

Ghostnodes India's Supreme Court Hears Crypto Exchanges vs. Central Bank of Russia and Relex Bithumb to Hold On Cryptocurrency Trading Platform for Bitcoin Mining? submitted by shirleyrsmithm to ProjectOblio [link] [comments]

BTC HOLD vs TRADE https://t.co/QBk7BGniKa - Crypto Insider Info - Whales's

Posted at: July 7, 2018 at 03:01PM
By:
BTC HOLD vs TRADE https://t.co/QBk7BGniKa
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submitted by cryptotradingbot to cryptobots [link] [comments]

Grayscale premium up 3x in the last 3 months... indicating future buy orders of $4 Bil annually.

For those that don't know, Grayscale is one of the biggest continual buyers of Bitcoin, currently buying out 100% of mining rewards annually (325,000 Bitcoin), to be locked into a permanent vault - roughly $4 Bil.
They do this because they trade in tax-differed retirement accounts, using the symbol GBTC, at roughly a 1 to 1,000 value ($10,000 BTC = $10 GBTC, of Bitcoin value - note: the actual math is like $10,000 BTC = $9.5 GBTC of value).
But typically GBTC trades well above this rate, around 30%. Today it's at about 20%, and a few months ago it was at 7%. This is easy for anyone to track.
For GBTC 'investors' they buy Bitcoin at a price, say $10,000, and then sell it as GBTC for $13,000 (30% premium), after holding 1 year. This makes it a relatively low-risk arbitrage, unless the premium goes away and BTC price plummets.
Once this Bitcoin is purchased and added to GBTC, it basically stays there forever, probably for the next 20 years. Their current Bitcoin asset valuation is about $4 Bil, and they are expected to add $4 Bil more this coming year, if investors keep pouring in.
The best indicator of this is the premium. As the premium grows, the risk to new investors decreases, and currently it trades at $13.2 vs asset value of $11 = 20% premium.
So it's something I watch for, and I suspect GBTC will buy $4 Bil of Bitcoin this year, alone with lots and lots of other crypto assets - which is about the entirety of this year's mining rewards (if the price stays near $10,000).
For those that are curious why the premium exists at all, for US persons it's commonly a 25 to 40% tax to engage in short-term trading, if it's in an IRA then the tax is 0%. If you are an active Bitcoin investor, attempt to do all short-term trades in retirement accounts only using GBTC, and long-term holding positions in actual BTC. At least that's what I do.
submitted by Bitcoin1776 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part 3/3

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part 3/3
Welcome to the third and final part of this chapter.
Thank you all for the 100s of comments and upvotes - maybe this post will take us above 1,000 for this topic!
Keep any feedback or questions coming in the replies below.
Before you read this note, please start with Part I and then Part II so it hangs together and makes sense.
Part III
  • Squeezes and other risks
  • Market positioning
  • Bet correlation
  • Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

Squeezes and other risks

We are going to cover three common risks that traders face: events; squeezes, asymmetric bets.

Events

Economic releases can cause large short-term volatility. The most famous is Non Farm Payrolls, which is the most widely watched measure of US employment levels and affects the price of many instruments.On an NFP announcement currencies like EURUSD might jump (or drop) 100 pips no problem.
This is fine and there are trading strategies that one may employ around this but the key thing is to be aware of these releases.You can find economic calendars all over the internet - including on this site - and you need only check if there are any major releases each day or week.
For example, if you are trading off some intraday chart and scalping a few pips here and there it would be highly sensible to go into a known data release flat as it is pure coin-toss and not the reason for your trading. It only takes five minutes each day to plan for the day ahead so do not get caught out by this. Many retail traders get stopped out on such events when price volatility is at its peak.

Squeezes

Short squeezes bring a lot of danger and perhaps some opportunity.
The story of VW and Porsche is the best short squeeze ever. Throughout these articles we've used FX examples wherever possible but in this one instance the concept (which is also highly relevant in FX) is best illustrated with an historical lesson from a different asset class.
A short squeeze is when a participant ends up in a short position they are forced to cover. Especially when the rest of the market knows that this participant can be bullied into stopping out at terrible levels, provided the market can briefly drive the price into their pain zone.

There's a reason for the car, don't worry
Hedge funds had been shorting VW stock. However the amount of VW stock available to buy in the open market was actually quite limited. The local government owned a chunk and Porsche itself had bought and locked away around 30%. Neither of these would sell to the hedge-funds so a good amount of the stock was un-buyable at any price.
If you sell or short a stock you must be prepared to buy it back to go flat at some point.
To cut a long story short, Porsche bought a lot of call options on VW stock. These options gave them the right to purchase VW stock from banks at slightly above market price.
Eventually the banks who had sold these options realised there was no VW stock to go out and buy since the German government wouldn’t sell its allocation and Porsche wouldn’t either. If Porsche called in the options the banks were in trouble.
Porsche called in the options which forced the shorts to buy stock - at whatever price they could get it.
The price squeezed higher as those that were short got massively squeezed and stopped out. For one brief moment in 2008, VW was the world’s most valuable company. Shorts were burned hard.

Incredible event
Porsche apparently made $11.5 billion on the trade. The BBC described Porsche as “a hedge fund with a carmaker attached.”
If this all seems exotic then know that the same thing happens in FX all the time. If everyone in the market is talking about a key level in EURUSD being 1.2050 then you can bet the market will try to push through 1.2050 just to take out any short stops at that level. Whether it then rallies higher or fails and trades back lower is a different matter entirely.
This brings us on to the matter of crowded trades. We will look at positioning in more detail in the next section. Crowded trades are dangerous for PNL. If everyone believes EURUSD is going down and has already sold EURUSD then you run the risk of a short squeeze.
For additional selling to take place you need a very good reason for people to add to their position whereas a move in the other direction could force mass buying to cover their shorts.
A trading mentor when I worked at the investment bank once advised me:
Always think about which move would cause the maximum people the maximum pain. That move is precisely what you should be watching out for at all times.

Asymmetric losses

Also known as picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. This risk has caught out many a retail trader. Sometimes it is referred to as a "negative skew" strategy.
Ideally what you are looking for is asymmetric risk trade set-ups: that is where the downside is clearly defined and smaller than the upside. What you want to avoid is the opposite.
A famous example of this going wrong was the Swiss National Bank de-peg in 2012.
The Swiss National Bank had said they would defend the price of EURCHF so that it did not go below 1.2. Many people believed it could never go below 1.2 due to this. Many retail traders therefore opted for a strategy that some describe as ‘picking up pennies in front of a steam-roller’.
They would would buy EURCHF above the peg level and hope for a tiny rally of several pips before selling them back and keep doing this repeatedly. Often they were highly leveraged at 100:1 so that they could amplify the profit of the tiny 5-10 pip rally.
Then this happened.

Something that changed FX markets forever
The SNB suddenly did the unthinkable. They stopped defending the price. CHF jumped and so EURCHF (the number of CHF per 1 EUR) dropped to new lows very fast. Clearly, this trade had horrific risk : reward asymmetry: you risked 30% to make 0.05%.
Other strategies like naively selling options have the same result. You win a small amount of money each day and then spectacularly blow up at some point down the line.

Market positioning

We have talked about short squeezes. But how do you know what the market position is? And should you care?
Let’s start with the first. You should definitely care.
Let’s imagine the entire market is exceptionally long EURUSD and positioning reaches extreme levels. This makes EURUSD very vulnerable.
To keep the price going higher EURUSD needs to attract fresh buy orders. If everyone is already long and has no room to add, what can incentivise people to keep buying? The news flow might be good. They may believe EURUSD goes higher. But they have already bought and have their maximum position on.
On the flip side, if there’s an unexpected event and EURUSD gaps lower you will have the entire market trying to exit the position at the same time. Like a herd of cows running through a single doorway. Messy.
We are going to look at this in more detail in a later chapter, where we discuss ‘carry’ trades. For now this TRYJPY chart might provide some idea of what a rush to the exits of a crowded position looks like.

A carry trade position clear-out in action
Knowing if the market is currently at extreme levels of long or short can therefore be helpful.
The CFTC makes available a weekly report, which details the overall positions of speculative traders “Non Commercial Traders” in some of the major futures products. This includes futures tied to deliverable FX pairs such as EURUSD as well as products such as gold. The report is called “CFTC Commitments of Traders” ("COT").
This is a great benchmark. It is far more representative of the overall market than the proprietary ones offered by retail brokers as it covers a far larger cross-section of the institutional market.
Generally market participants will not pay a lot of attention to commercial hedgers, which are also detailed in the report. This data is worth tracking but these folks are simply hedging real-world transactions rather than speculating so their activity is far less revealing and far more noisy.
You can find the data online for free and download it directly here.

Raw format is kinda hard to work with

However, many websites will chart this for you free of charge and you may find it more convenient to look at it that way. Just google “CFTC positioning charts”.

But you can easily get visualisations
You can visually spot extreme positioning. It is extremely powerful.
Bear in mind the reports come out Friday afternoon US time and the report is a snapshot up to the prior Tuesday. That means it is a lagged report - by the time it is released it is a few days out of date. For longer term trades where you hold positions for weeks this is of course still pretty helpful information.
As well as the absolute level (is the speculative market net long or short) you can also use this to pick up on changes in positioning.
For example if bad news comes out how much does the net short increase? If good news comes out, the market may remain net short but how much did they buy back?
A lot of traders ask themselves “Does the market have this trade on?” The positioning data is a good method for answering this. It provides a good finger on the pulse of the wider market sentiment and activity.
For example you might say: “There was lots of noise about the good employment numbers in the US. However, there wasn’t actually a lot of position change on the back of it. Maybe everyone who wants to buy already has. What would happen now if bad news came out?”
In general traders will be wary of entering a crowded position because it will be hard to attract additional buyers or sellers and there could be an aggressive exit.
If you want to enter a trade that is showing extreme levels of positioning you must think carefully about this dynamic.

Bet correlation

Retail traders often drastically underestimate how correlated their bets are.
Through bitter experience, I have learned that a mistake in position correlation is the root of some of the most serious problems in trading. If you have eight highly correlated positions, then you are really trading one position that is eight times as large.
Bruce Kovner of hedge fund, Caxton Associates
For example, if you are trading a bunch of pairs against the USD you will end up with a simply huge USD exposure. A single USD-trigger can ruin all your bets. Your ideal scenario — and it isn’t always possible — would be to have a highly diversified portfolio of bets that do not move in tandem.
Look at this chart. Inverted USD index (DXY) is green. AUDUSD is orange. EURUSD is blue.

Chart from TradingView
So the whole thing is just one big USD trade! If you are long AUDUSD, long EURUSD, and short DXY you have three anti USD bets that are all likely to work or fail together.
The more diversified your portfolio of bets are, the more risk you can take on each.
There’s a really good video, explaining the benefits of diversification from Ray Dalio.
A systematic fund with access to an investable universe of 10,000 instruments has more opportunity to make a better risk-adjusted return than a trader who only focuses on three symbols. Diversification really is the closest thing to a free lunch in finance.
But let’s be pragmatic and realistic. Human retail traders don’t have capacity to run even one hundred bets at a time. More realistic would be an average of 2-3 trades on simultaneously. So what can be done?
For example:
  • You might diversify across time horizons by having a mix of short-term and long-term trades.
  • You might diversify across asset classes - trading some FX but also crypto and equities.
  • You might diversify your trade generation approach so you are not relying on the same indicators or drivers on each trade.
  • You might diversify your exposure to the market regime by having some trades that assume a trend will continue (momentum) and some that assume we will be range-bound (carry).
And so on. Basically you want to scan your portfolio of trades and make sure you are not putting all your eggs in one basket. If some trades underperform others will perform - assuming the bets are not correlated - and that way you can ensure your overall portfolio takes less risk per unit of return.
The key thing is to start thinking about a portfolio of bets and what each new trade offers to your existing portfolio of risk. Will it diversify or amplify a current exposure?

Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

One common mistake is to get bored and restless and put on crap trades. This just means trades in which you have low conviction.
It is perfectly fine not to trade. If you feel like you do not understand the market at a particular point, simply choose not to trade.
Flat is a position.
Do not waste your bullets on rubbish trades. Only enter a trade when you have carefully considered it from all angles and feel good about the risk. This will make it far easier to hold onto the trade if it moves against you at any point. You actually believe in it.
Equally, you need to set monthly limits. A standard limit might be a 10% account balance stop per month. At that point you close all your positions immediately and stop trading till next month.

Be strict with yourself and walk away
Let’s assume you started the year with $100k and made 5% in January so enter Feb with $105k balance. Your stop is therefore 10% of $105k or $10.5k . If your account balance dips to $94.5k ($105k-$10.5k) then you stop yourself out and don’t resume trading till March the first.
Having monthly calendar breaks is nice for another reason. Say you made a load of money in January. You don’t want to start February feeling you are up 5% or it is too tempting to avoid trading all month and protect the existing win. Each month and each year should feel like a clean slate and an independent period.
Everyone has trading slumps. It is perfectly normal. It will definitely happen to you at some stage. The trick is to take a break and refocus. Conserve your capital by not trading a lot whilst you are on a losing streak. This period will be much harder for you emotionally and you’ll end up making suboptimal decisions. An enforced break will help you see the bigger picture.
Put in place a process before you start trading and then it’ll be easy to follow and will feel much less emotional. Remember: the market doesn’t care if you win or lose, it is nothing personal.
When your head has cooled and you feel calm you return the next month and begin the task of building back your account balance.

That's a wrap on risk management

Thanks for taking time to read this three-part chapter on risk management. I hope you enjoyed it. Do comment in the replies if you have any questions or feedback.
Remember: the most important part of trading is not making money. It is not losing money. Always start with that principle. I hope these three notes have provided some food for thought on how you might approach risk management and are of practical use to you when trading. Avoiding mistakes is not a sexy tagline but it is an effective and reliable way to improve results.
Next up I will be writing about an exciting topic I think many traders should look at rather differently: news trading. Please follow on here to receive notifications and the broad outline is below.
News Trading Part I
  • Introduction
  • Why use the economic calendar
  • Reading the economic calendar
  • Knowing what's priced in
  • Surveys
  • Interest rates
  • First order thinking vs second order thinking
News Trading Part II
  • Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases
  • Data surprise index
  • Using recent events to predict future reactions
  • Buy the rumour, sell the fact
  • The mysterious 'position trim' effect
  • Reversals
  • Some key FX releases
***

Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

What is the latest consensus of rebalancing portfolios vs bitcoin hodling as of 2020?

I am wondering if the historical backtest data still confirms that holding a rebalanced "index" portfolio still outperforms just hodling BTC? Shrimpy confirmed that 2 years ago in 2018, but that was very short timeframe, does it still hold in power in 2020?
And if so, which portfolios have proven to outperform the longest? Of course, taking transaction fee costs and trading costs into account.

Also, isn't the problem with backtesting fact that in each timeframe a different backtesting model can outperform, but as time goes on there is absolutely no guarantee that it will keep outperforming?

If anyone has any recent data on this or just general observations on backtesting hodling btc vs hodling an "index" of cryptos, please do share.
submitted by BackgammonMasters to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Newcomers FAQ - Please read!

Welcome to the /Bitcoin Sticky FAQ

You've probably been hearing a lot about Bitcoin recently and are wondering what's the big deal? Most of your questions should be answered by the resources below but if you have additional questions feel free to ask them in the comments.
It all started with the release of the release of Satoshi Nakamoto's whitepaper however that will probably go over the head of most readers so we recommend the following videos for a good starting point for understanding how bitcoin works and a little about its long term potential:
Some other great resources include Lopp.net, the Princeton crypto series and James D'Angelo's Bitcoin 101 Blackboard series.
Some excellent writing on Bitcoin's value proposition and future can be found at the Satoshi Nakamoto Institute.
Some Bitcoin statistics can be found here and here. Developer resources can be found here. Peer-reviewed research papers can be found here.
Potential upcoming protocol improvements and scaling resources here and here.
The number of times Bitcoin was declared dead by the media can be found here (LOL!)

Key properties of Bitcoin

Where can I buy bitcoins?

Bitcoin.org and BuyBitcoinWorldwide.com are helpful sites for beginners. You can buy or sell any amount of bitcoin (even just a few dollars worth) and there are several easy methods to purchase bitcoin with cash, credit card or bank transfer. Some of the more popular resources are below, also check out the bitcoinity exchange resources for a larger list of options for purchases.
Here is a listing of local ATMs. If you would like your paycheck automatically converted to bitcoin use Bitwage.
Note: Bitcoins are valued at whatever market price people are willing to pay for them in balancing act of supply vs demand. Unlike traditional markets, bitcoin markets operate 24 hours per day, 365 days per year. Preev is a useful site that that shows how much various denominations of bitcoin are worth in different currencies. Alternatively you can just Google "1 bitcoin in (your local currency)".

Securing your bitcoins

With bitcoin you can "Be your own bank" and personally secure your bitcoins OR you can use third party companies aka "Bitcoin banks" which will hold the bitcoins for you.
Note: For increased security, use Two Factor Authentication (2FA) everywhere it is offered, including email!
2FA requires a second confirmation code to access your account making it much harder for thieves to gain access. Google Authenticator and Authy are the two most popular 2FA services, download links are below. Make sure you create backups of your 2FA codes.
Google Auth Authy OTP Auth
Android Android N/A
iOS iOS iOS

Watch out for scams

As mentioned above, Bitcoin is decentralized, which by definition means there is no official website or Twitter handle or spokesperson or CEO. However, all money attracts thieves. This combination unfortunately results in scammers running official sounding names or pretending to be an authority on YouTube or social media. Many scammers throughout the years have claimed to be the inventor of Bitcoin. Websites like bitcoin(dot)com and the btc subreddit are active scams. Almost all altcoins (shitcoins) are marketed heavily with big promises but are really just designed to separate you from your bitcoin. So be careful: any resource, including all linked in this document, may in the future turn evil. Don't trust, verify. Also as they say in our community "Not your keys, not your coins".

Where can I spend bitcoins?

Check out spendabit or bitcoin directory for millions of merchant options. Also you can spend bitcoin anywhere visa is accepted with bitcoin debit cards such as the CashApp card. Some other useful site are listed below.
Store Product
Gyft Gift cards for hundreds of retailers including Amazon, Target, Walmart, Starbucks, Whole Foods, CVS, Lowes, Home Depot, iTunes, Best Buy, Sears, Kohls, eBay, GameStop, etc.
Spendabit, Overstock and The Bitcoin Directory Retail shopping with millions of results
ShakePay Generate one time use Visa cards in seconds
NewEgg and Dell For all your electronics needs
Bitwa.la, Coinbills, Piixpay, Bitbill.eu, Bylls, Coins.ph, Bitrefill, LivingRoomofSatoshi, Coinsfer, and more Bill payment
Menufy, Takeaway and Thuisbezorgd NL Takeout delivered to your door
Expedia, Cheapair, Destinia, Abitsky, SkyTours, the Travel category on Gyft and 9flats For when you need to get away
Cryptostorm, Mullvad, and PIA VPN services
Namecheap, Porkbun Domain name registration
Stampnik Discounted USPS Priority, Express, First-Class mail postage
Coinmap and AirBitz are helpful to find local businesses accepting bitcoins. A good resource for UK residents is at wheretospendbitcoins.co.uk.
There are also lots of charities which accept bitcoin donations.

Merchant Resources

There are several benefits to accepting bitcoin as a payment option if you are a merchant;
If you are interested in accepting bitcoin as a payment method, there are several options available;

Can I mine bitcoin?

Mining bitcoins can be a fun learning experience, but be aware that you will most likely operate at a loss. Newcomers are often advised to stay away from mining unless they are only interested in it as a hobby similar to folding at home. If you want to learn more about mining you can read more here. Still have mining questions? The crew at /BitcoinMining would be happy to help you out.
If you want to contribute to the bitcoin network by hosting the blockchain and propagating transactions you can run a full node using this setup guide. If you would prefer to keep it simple there are several good options. You can view the global node distribution here.

Earning bitcoins

Just like any other form of money, you can also earn bitcoins by being paid to do a job.
Site Description
WorkingForBitcoins, Bitwage, Cryptogrind, Coinality, Bitgigs, /Jobs4Bitcoins, BitforTip, Rein Project Freelancing
Lolli Earn bitcoin when you shop online!
OpenBazaar, Purse.io, Bitify, /Bitmarket, 21 Market Marketplaces
/GirlsGoneBitcoin NSFW Adult services
A-ads, Coinzilla.io Advertising
You can also earn bitcoins by participating as a market maker on JoinMarket by allowing users to perform CoinJoin transactions with your bitcoins for a small fee (requires you to already have some bitcoins.

Bitcoin-Related Projects

The following is a short list of ongoing projects that might be worth taking a look at if you are interested in current development in the bitcoin space.
Project Description
Lightning Network Second layer scaling
Blockstream, Rootstock and Drivechain Sidechains
Hivemind and Augur Prediction markets
Tierion and Factom Records & Titles on the blockchain
BitMarkets, DropZone, Beaver and Open Bazaar Decentralized markets
JoinMarket and Wasabi Wallet CoinJoin implementation
Coinffeine and Bisq Decentralized bitcoin exchanges
Keybase Identity & Reputation management
Abra Global P2P money transmitter network
Bitcore Open source Bitcoin javascript library

Bitcoin Units

One Bitcoin is quite large (hundreds of £/$/€) so people often deal in smaller units. The most common subunits are listed below:
Unit Symbol Value Info
bitcoin BTC 1 bitcoin one bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis
millibitcoin mBTC 1,000 per bitcoin used as default unit in recent Electrum wallet releases
bit bit 1,000,000 per bitcoin colloquial "slang" term for microbitcoin (μBTC)
satoshi sat 100,000,000 per bitcoin smallest unit in bitcoin, named after the inventor
For example, assuming an arbitrary exchange rate of $10000 for one Bitcoin, a $10 meal would equal:
For more information check out the Bitcoin units wiki.
Still have questions? Feel free to ask in the comments below or stick around for our weekly Mentor Monday thread. If you decide to post a question in /Bitcoin, please use the search bar to see if it has been answered before, and remember to follow the community rules outlined on the sidebar to receive a better response. The mods are busy helping manage our community so please do not message them unless you notice problems with the functionality of the subreddit.
Note: This is a community created FAQ. If you notice anything missing from the FAQ or that requires clarification you can edit it here and it will be included in the next revision pending approval.
Welcome to the Bitcoin community and the new decentralized economy!
submitted by BitcoinFan7 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Chainlink analysis - my thoughts and research

Necessary Disclaimer: no rule breaking intended. No price manipulation intended. I only want to share verifiable facts/links and my analysis. If I am doing anything against the rules please let me know and I will do my best to fix it ASAP. I trade crypto, including LINK, and I am currently short on LINK. This is not financial advice; this is just for my own record and to start a discussion for anyone who might want more transparency around LINK.

TL;DR:

I believe there is a lot of misinformation, uncertainty, and unanswered questions about the LINK token, the Chainlink ecosystem, the SmartContract parent company. I also believe that LINK's current price is unjustified based on fundamental factors like usage/business case/current customers/future potential. So I'm raising some points and asking some questions.
What is this post? Why should I care? How do I use it?
Read or skim it. It's about the LINK token, the Chainlink ecosystem, and the parent company SmartContract. It's about why I believe the price of the LINK token may be currently driven mostly by hype and not backed by standard market fundamentals like usage/economics.
Update 9 AUG: reorganizing, rewriting this post and moving supporting data/sources into "appendix" comments below on this post. The previous versions of this post and my comments elsewhere were too emotionally charged and caused more division rather than honest, evidence-based, productive discussion and I sincerely apologize for that. I have now rewritten it and will continue to update it.

PARTNERSHIPS

Who has Chainlink partnered with? Who is using Chainlink's technology and network? Who is contributing to developing Chainlink?
Google - this is the pinned tweet on Chainlink's official page. Nothing there about Google using Chainlink services or co-developing with them. Just that blockchains/oracles CAN use google cloud services (APIs?). This is Google Cloud's June 13, 2019 blog post: https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/data-analytics/building-hybrid-blockchain-cloud-applications-with-ethereum-and-google-cloud
Oracle - (TODO. This seems to have potential as some product manager at Oracle has posted that chainlink integration is coming Q3/Q4 of 2020)
SWIFT - the best they've got is a 30 second video with NOBODY from SWIFT present, with a *hypothetical* use case using SWIFT API.
Intel This is the only google result for "chainlink site:intel.com", and it casually mentions that Intel's TEE (trusted execution environment) technology can be used to improve the security of oracles/blockchains. Nothing about Intel themselves using or developing with Chainlink. https://software.intel.com/content/www/us/en/develop/articles/new-confidential-computing-solutions-emerge-on-the-hyperledger-avalon-trusted-compute.html
Another 240+ claimed project integrations:
[TODO] There are so many to keep track of. Every week or even more frequent is yet another integration *announcement*
Current DeFi usage: we've heard that Chainlink "secures" $1 billion in DeFi. But that's not in value locked: https://defipulse.com/ (LINK doesn't even appear on that list). That's just with DeFi data supposedly being priced using Chainlink nodes.
EG Synthetix:
https://blog.synthetix.io/chainlink-decentralizes-first-wave-of-synthetix-price-feeds/ yet where does Synthetix actually PAY to use an oracle? Not visible on-chain, maybe someone will find it.
https://defipulse.com/blog/3-defi-dapps-starting-2020-off-strong/ "... Chainlink's following includes partnerships big and small, including Intel and Google Cloud services" example of misleading/exaggerated partnership claims being circulated.

Chainlink's ROADMAP

Threshold signatures, staking, on-chain SLAs:
How real are these, is there a roadmap, how will this benefit users, is there any evidence of users currently *wanting* to use chainlink but needing these features and actively waiting for Chainlink to launch these?
Staking: for there to be a valid incentive for users to stake LINK, it has to return around 5% annually because anything substantially under that would have users putting their money elsewhere (https://www.stakingrewards.com/cryptoassets) (not counting speculative capital gains in terms of LINK's price, but price gain per token/coin applies to all other crypto projects as well).
Currently, for stakable cryptos, around 30-80% of their total supply is staked, and a good adjusted reward is on the order of 5% as well (some actually negative, some 10%+). The promise of staking incentivises people to buy and hold more LINK tokens (again, many other crypto projects have staking already live). That 5% reward will ultimately have to come from the customers who pay Chainlink oracle nodes to use their services, so it's an extra 5% fee for them. Of course, in the near future, the staking rewards *could* be subsidized by the founders' reserve wallets.
Threshold signatures: addressed below in a comment.
On-chain SLAs: [TODO]
Here's supposedly Chainlink's agile/project planning board. (TODO: verify that it is indeed Chainlink's, and then analyse it)
https://www.pivotaltracker.com/n/projects/2129823

LINK wallet addresses

As LINK is an ERC20 token on the Ethereum blockchain, all its movements are visible, all the way from the genesis creation of 1,000,000,000 LINK tokens through to aggregator nodes through to cashing out on exchanges. Below are some examples and some reasons why this may be concerning to investors/holders of LINK.
This is one LINK address whale with over 6 million LINK. Looks like some of the funds end up on a Turkish exchange Paribu. https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xc6bed363b30df7f35b601a5547fe56cd31ec63da This wallet has moved out >200,000 LINK in the last 24 hours. Don't know where, go trace it.
Typical data provider example. Lots of named Chainlink oracle nodes pay this address: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x72f3dff4cd17816604dd2df6c2741e739484ca62 Usually 0.16 LINK to this address every few minutes, sometimes 2 LINK. This data provider has sent out ~11,620 LINK out to the following wallet: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xa5d0084a766203b463b3164dfc49d91509c12dab That wallet has cashed out 9,560 LINK to 1inch.exchange (a DEX) over the past year. Has also transferred 6000 LINK to a currently loaded wallet (possibly exchange account ready to sell?): https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x088d50c0bb5381a1205d1182cc21496c6fdc4c62 Another destination accumulation wallet (~493,000 LINK with no out transfers yet) https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x7758e507850da48cd47df1fb5f875c23e3340c50 (unrelated but a sell order of this size would drop LINK's price by 10-30% on Binance, someone check my maths on this) Now tracing back who funds the 0x72f3... data provider, we see a number of named Chainlink Aggregator nodes. Picking one at random, say the TUSD/ETH one: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x73ead35fd6a572ef763b13be65a9db96f7643577 It was last funded March 12 2020 with 5000 LINK. Tracing back the funds we ultimately come to the genesis wallet of the Chainlink network itself, the original source of the 1,000,000,000 LINK tokens in existence. (side note: some interesting-looking transactions there) This is the first child of the genesis wallet that received 100,000,000 from the genesis wallet. https://etherscan.io/tokentxns?a=0xf37c348b7d19b17b29cd5cfa64cfa48e2d6eb8db Last time this wallet transferred out was YESTERDAY for 500,000 LINK. Now this doesn't prove anything, DYOR, but to me it looks like the genesis wallets are slowly cashing out through the aggregator nodes, making it look like the oracle node network is being actively used (which it is, but it's not the end customers like AAVE/NEXO paying the LINK required to power oracles, it's SmartContract itself). I know that this is just ONE aggregator node, but I've seen the same behaviour from their other named nodes - go check for yourselves.
If you trace chainlink oracle funds to their source, you can find some of the original addresses. Some of these early on (around 1000 days ago) were linked to AfroDex labs, which looks like now doesn’t work. http://afrodex.net/#!/trade/AfroX-ETH
Who currently pays Chainlink nodes?
How much of the revenue that Chainlink nodes receive is from potentially third party customers vs internal funding by the Chainlink team wallets?
For example, this is the "Chainlink: LINK / USD Aggregator" wallet.
It has had a total 8,200 LINK deposited from 5 transactions in round amounts (on any of the below links, click the "Analytics" tab to see In/Out balance history), and has so far paid out ~5,156 LINK.
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x32dbd3214ac75223e27e575c53944307914f7a90
It typically pays ~10 wallets 0.16 Link each, a few times an hour, like so:
https://etherscan.io/tx/0x02c595981b935a57cfbe6170656181faac9a16d7a33a123930a716c4abec615a ($45 in ETH fees to transfer $22 worth of LINK, sounds like a lot of overheads)
Where does this aggregator wallet get its LINK funding from?
From ONLY here: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x27158157136384c713bc09a0a7ae81c8391d7f11 (current net balance ~50,000 LINK, total ~5,000,000 million in and out)
Which in turn gets it from ONLY these three, in HUGE amounts:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xf37c348b7d19b17b29cd5cfa64cfa48e2d6eb8db (6,000,000 LINK)
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xaf40738c6f940519516e043f924b8d05fc0292b8 (just a jump address into the one above, only 3 total tx)
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x1f9e26f1c050b5c018ab0e66fcae8e4394eb0165 (147,000 LINK)
the 0x1f9e2... one got its funding from:
  1. 6098.8 LINK from Binance about a year ago: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x161cdd891e04a77e0458a3ef65c563c4d2064cd6
  2. 12,600,000 from the genesis wallet through one jump address https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xdad22a85ef8310ef582b70e4051e543f3153e11f
  3. 13,000,000 from the 0xf37... wallet above
the 0xf37... in turn got its 50,000,000 (!) LINK from the genesis address which minted the original 1 billion tokens:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xf55037738604fddfc4043d12f25124e94d7d1780
So the 0x27158... wallet is basically a genesis wallet.
Now let's do the most popular feed on feeds.chain.link, the ETH/USD feed: https://feeds.chain.link/eth-usd, with a wallet address of: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xF79D6aFBb6dA890132F9D7c355e3015f15F3406F#tokenAnalytics
It was first funded in Jan 2020 and has been funded a total of 9 times for a total influx of 108,437.533 LINK, by:
  1. "Chainlink: Deployer" 10 LINK: https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x6f61507f902e1c22bcd7aa2c0452cd2212009b61
  2. The 0x27158... genesis-sourced wallet, 20,000 LINK
  3. An intermediary/middle very active wallet (which is 99.998% funded by the 0x27158... genesis-sourced wallet), 52,000 LINK https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x2f0acb9c5dd2a3511bc1d9d67258e5c9434ba569
  4. "Chainlink: Aggregator", 36,427.533 LINK, https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x79febf6b9f76853edbcbc913e6aae8232cfb9de9#tokenAnalytics
I manually traced EVERY single inbound transaction/source of funds for the above 4 (not counting #1 as 10 LINK is negligible). 2 & 3 are 99.99%+ genesis-funded, being ACTIVELY topped up by a genesis wallet, last tx 4 days ago, 500,000 LINK. #4 has been funded 36 times over the past year and a half (that's 36 manual exports and I did them all). They all come from the 0x27158..., 0x2f0acb..., and https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x1f9e26f1c050b5c018ab0e66fcae8e4394eb0165 (another address like the 0x2f0acb that I went through and checked EVERY SINGLE inbound source of funds, and it's also >99.9% genesis-funded - one tx from Binance for 6098 LINK out of a total ~6,560,000 inbound LINK from genesis wallets), and two other addresses linked to Binance (0x1b185c8611d157a67d9a9d5261b0d2bd52c0bb78, 10,000 LINK and 0x039ac18afe298747c51c85e7c8f0d67c327f3883, 1,000,000 LINK)
The 0x039ac... address funded the "Chainlink: Aggregator" address with 127,900 LINK, and the 0x1b185... with about ~9,600 LINK). So yes, it's technically possible that someone not related to Chainlink paid for the ETH / USD price feed because some funds do come from Binance. However, they only come from two distinct addresses. Surely for "240+" claimed partnerships, more than TWO would pay to use Chainlink's MOST POPULAR price feed? That is, unless they don't pay directly but to another address and then Chainlink covers this one from their own wallets. I will check if that's in line with Chainlink's whitepaper, but doesn't that throw doubt on the whole model of end-users paying to use oracles/aggregators, even if it's subsidized?
I provide you this much detail not to bore you but to show you that I went through BY HAND and checked every single source (detailed sources in Appendix B) of funds for the OFFICIAL, Chainlink-listed "ETH/USD" aggregator that's supposedly sponsored by 10 DeFi partners (Synthetix, LoopSpring, OpenLaw, 1inch, ParaSwap, MCDEX, FuturesSwap, DMM, Aave, The Force Protocol). Yet where are the transactions showing that those 10 partners have EVER paid for this ETH/USD oracle? Perhaps the data is there so what am I missing? This ETH/USD aggregator has transferred out ~76,000 LINK to I guess the data providers in increments of .33 LINK. It has 21 data providers responding. I will begin investigating the data providers themselves soon.
And those middle addresses like 0x1f9e26... and 0x2f0acb...? They have transferred out hundreds of thousands if not millions of LINK to exchanges. And that's just ONE price pair aggregator. Chainlink has around 40 of these (albeit this one's one of the more popular ones).

SNX / ETH aggregator is funded 100% by genesis-sourced wallets, only 3 inbound transactions:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xe23d1142de4e83c08bb048bcab54d50907390828

Some random examples (for later, ignore these for now) ***********
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x039ac18afe298747c51c85e7c8f0d67c327f3883 bought 1,000,000 LINK from Binance in Sept 12 & 15, 2019. (one of the possible funding sources for the ETH / USD aggregator example above)
This address got 500,000 LINK from 0x27158... and has distributed them into ~5-10,000 LINK wallets that haven't had any out transactions yet
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x5bcf3edc0bb7119e35f322ba40793b99d4620f1e
**************
Another example with an unnamed aggregator-node-like wallet that was only spun up 5 days ago, Aug 5:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x2cbfd29947f774b8cf338f776915e6fee052f236
It was funded 2,000 LINK SOLELY by the 0x27158... wallet and has so far paid out ~500 LINK in 0.43 LINK amounts to 9 wallets at a time. For example, this is one of the wallets it cashes out to:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x64fe692be4b42f4ac9d4617ab824e088350c11c2#tokenAnalytics
That wallet extremely consistently collects small amounts of LINK since Oct 2019. It must be a data provider because a lot of Chainlink named wallets pay it small amounts of LINK regularly. It has transferred out 20 times. The most recent transfer out:
https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0xc8c30fa803833dd1fd6dbcdd91ed0b301eff87cf which then immediately transferred to the named "1inch.exchange" wallet, so I assume this was a "cash-out" transaction. It has cashed out via this address a lot.
Granted, it also has transfer-out transactions that haven't (yet) ended up in an exchange wallet, eg https://etherscan.io/token/0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca?a=0x88e5353a73f38f25a9611e6083de6f361f9b537b with a current balance of 3000 LINK. This could be a user's exchange wallet, ready to be sold, or could be something else. No way for me to tell as there are no out txs from it.

LINK overall transaction, volume, and tx fees

This is to understand how much $ moves through the LINK ecosystem through: nodes, data providers, reserve wallets, wallets linked to exchanges, others.
A typical aggregator node tx (payout?): https://etherscan.io/tx/0xef9e8e6dd94ebe9bbac8866f18c2ea0a07408ced1aa77fa04826043eaa55e772 This is their ETH/USD aggregator paying out 1 LINK to each of 21 addresses. Value of 21 LINK ~= $210. Total eth tx fees: .233 ETH (~$88.5, ~42% of the total tx value. If LINK was $4.2 instead of $10, the tx fees would be 100% of the value of the tx). Transactions like this happen every few minutes, and the payout amounts are most often 0.16, 0.66, 1.0, and 2.0 Link.
Chainlink’s node/job listing site, https://market.link, lists 86 nodes, 195 feeds, 801 jobs, ~1,080,000 job runs (I can’t tell if this is over the past 2 months or 1.5 years). Only 20 nodes have over 1000 job runs, and 62 nodes have ZERO runs. Usual job cost is listed as 0.1 link, but the overall payout to the nodes is 10-20 times this. The nodes then cash out usually through a few jump addresses to exchanges. Some quick maths: (being generous and assuming it’s 1mil jobs every 2 months = ~6mil link/year = $60,000,000 revenue a year. This is the most generous estimate towards link’s valuation I’ve found so far. If we ignore the below examples where on multi-node payouts the tx fees are more than the node revenue itself, then it’s almost in line with an over-valued (but real) big tech company.
For example, one of the latest CHF/USD job runs paid 0.1 LINK to 9 addresses (data providers?) - total $14.4 payout - and paid 0.065 ETH ($24.5) in fees. That’s a $10.1 LOSS on a $14.4 revenue: https://etherscan.io/tx/0xa6351bab810b6864bfebb0f6e1e3bde3c8856f8aac3ba769dd2e6d1a39c0d23f
Linkpool’s (one of the biggest node operators) “ETH-USD CryptoCompare” job costs 0.1 link and has 33 runs in the past 24 hours (once every ~44min), total ~78,000 runs since May 30 2019 (once every ~8min). https://market.link/jobs/64bb0845-c4e1-4681-8853-0b5aa7366101/runs (PS cryptocompare has a free API that does this. Not sure why it costs $1 at current link prices to access an API once)

Token distribution:

Top 100 wallets (0.05% of ~186,000 total) hold 83% of tokens. 8 wallets each hold over 1% of total, 58 hold over 0.1%. Of these 58, 9 are named exchange/lending pool wallets.
For comparison, for Tether (TUSD), the top 100 wallets (0.006% of ~1,651,000 total) hold 35.9% of the supply. 3 addresses hold over 1% of the supply and 135 hold over 0.1%. Of these 135, at least 15 are named exchange/lending pool wallets.
LINK’s market cap is $3.5B (or $10B fully diluted, if we count the foundedev-controlled tokens, which we should as there's nothing preventing them from being moved at a moment's notice). Tether’s is $6.9B. Tether has 10 times more addresses and less distribution inequality. Both LINK and Tether are ERC20 tokens, and even if we temporarily ignore any arguments related to management/roadmap/teams etc, Tether has a clear, currently functional, single use case: keep 1 USDT = $1 USD by printing/burning USDT (and yet as of April 2019, only 74% of Tether's market cap is backed by real funds - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tether_(cryptocurrency))). Given that Chainlink's market cap is now 50% bigger than Tether's, surely by now there's AT LEAST one clear, currently functional use case for LINK? What is it? Can we *see* it happening on-chain?

Chainlink’s actual deliverable products

"What do I currently get for my money if I buy LINK 1) as an investor and 2) as a tech business/startup thinking of using oracles?”
Codebase (Chainlink’s github has around 140-200,000 lines of code (not counting html/css). What else is not counted in this? Town crier? Proprietary code that we don't know about yet? How much CODING has Chainlink done other than what's on github?
Current network of oracles - only ~20 active nodes - are there many more than the ones listed on market.link and reputation.link? If so, would be nice to know about these if we're allowed!
Documentation - they have what seems like detailed instructions on how to launch and use oracle nodes (and much more, I haven't investigated yet) (TODO this part more - what else do they offer to me as an end consumer, and eg as a tech startup needing oracle services that I can’t code myself?)

Network utilization statistics:

Etherscan.io allows csv export of the first 5000 txs from each day. From Jul 31 to Aug 6 2020, I thus downloaded 30,000 tx from midnight every day to an average of 7:10am (so 24 hour totals are 3.34x these numbers if we assume the same network utilization throughout the day).
(Summary of all LINK token activity on the ETH blockchain from 31.07 to 06.08, first 5000 txs of each day (30k total) shown Appendix A comment below this post.)
If we GENEROUSLY assume that EVERY SINGLE transaction under 10.0 LINK is ACTUAL chainlink nodes doing ACTUAL work, that’s still under 0.1% of the LINK network’s total volume being used for ACTUAL ecosystem functioning. The rest is speculation, trading, node funding by foundedev wallets, or dumping to exchanges (anything I missed?)
Assuming the above, the entire turnover of the actual LINK network is currently (18,422 LINK) * ($10/LINK) * (3.34 as etherscan.io’s data only gives first 5000 tx per day which averages to 7:10am) * (52 wk/year) = USD $31,995,329 turnover a year.
Note: the below paragraph is old analysis using traditional stock market Price/Earnings ratios which several users have now pointed out isn't really applicable in crypto. I leave it for the record. Assuming all of that is profit (which it’s not given tx fees at the very least), LINK would need a PE ratio (Price/Earnings) of 100 times to justify its current (undiluted) valuation of $3.5 billion of 300 if you count the other 65% of tokens that haven’t been dumped by the founders/devs yet. For comparison, common PE ratios are 32 (facebook), 29 (google), 37 (uber), 20 (twitter on a good year), 10 (good hedge fund returning 10% annual).

Thoughts on DeFi & yield-farming - [TODO]

Why would exchanges who do their due diligence list LINK, let alone at a leverage? 1) that's their business, they take a cut of every transaction, overhyped or not, 2) they're not safe from listing openly bearish tokens like EIDOS (troll token that incentivized users to make FAKE transactions, response to EOS) https://www.coindesk.com/defi-yield-farming-comp-token-explained
The current ANNUAL yield on liquidity/yield farming is something like 2% on STABLE tokens like USDC and TETHER which at least have most of their supply backed by real-world assets. If Chainlink LINK staking is to be successful, they'll have to achieve at LEAST that same 2% at end-state. IF LINK is in bubble territory and drops, that's a lot of years at 2% waiting to recoup losses.

SmartContract Team & Past Projects

Normally I don't like focussing on people because it leads too easily to ad-hominem attacks on personality rather than on technology/numbers as I've done above, but I came across this and didn't like what I saw.
Steve Ellis, SmartContract's current CTO, co-founded and worked in "Secure Asset Exchange" from 2014 to 2016. They developed the NXT blockchain, issued 1,000,000,000 NXT tokens (remind you of anything?), NXT was listed end of 2013 and saw 3 quick 500%-1000% pumps and subsequent dumps in early in mid 2014, and then declined to . SecureAE officially shut down in Jan 2016. Then at some point a company called Jelurida acquired the rights to NXT (presumably after SecureAE?), then during the 2017 altcoin craze NXT pumped 300 times to a market cap of $1.8 BILLION and then dumped back down 100 times and now it's a dead project with a market cap of $13 million.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/steveellis0606/
https://trade.secureae.com/
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/nxt/
https://www.jelurida.com/news/lawsuit-against-apollo-license-violations
As an investor or business owner, would you invest/hire a company whose co-founders/CTO's last project was a total flop with a price history chart that's textbook pump-and-dump behaviour? (and in this case, we KNOW the end result - 99% losses for investors) If you're Google/Oracle/SWIFT/Intel, would you partner with them?

Open questions for the Chainlink community and investors:

  1. Network activity: Are there any other currently active chainlink nodes other than those listed on market.link and reputation.link? If so, is there a list of them with usage statistics? Do they use some other token than LINK and thus making simple analytics of the LINK ERC20 token not an accurate representation of Chainlink’s actual activity? If the nodes listed on the two sites above ARE currently the main nodes, then
  2. PR, partnership announcements: Why is the google tweet still pinned to the top of Chainlink’s twitter? Due to the frequently circulated Chainlink promotion material (https://chainlinkecosystem.com/) that lists Google as one of the key partners, this tweet being pinned is potentially misleading as there isn't anything in there to merit calling Google a "collaborator" or "partner" - just that blockchains/oracles *can* use Google's APIs (but so can most software in the world). Is there something else going on with the SmartContract-Google relationship that warrants calling Google a partner that we're simply not aware of yet?
  3. By buying LINK, what backs YOUR money: If you have bought and currently hold LINK tokens, how comfortable are you that the future promise of your investment growing is supported on verifiable business and technological grounds versus pure, parabolic hype? If after reading this post you still are, I kindly ask you to reply and show how even one of the points I provided is either incorrect or not applicable, and I will edit my post and include your feedback in the relevant section as I have already done from other users.
  4. What have I missed? Of course not 100% of what I've said is infallible truth. I am a real human, and I have plenty of biases and blind spots. Even if what I've provided is technically correct, there may be other much more important info that I've missed that eclipses what I've provided here. Ask yourself: if the current hype around LINK is indeed valid and points to a $100/$1000 future LINK price, then Where’s Chainlink’s missing financial/performance/usage evidence to justify LINK’s current valuation of $10+?

Conclusion

For your consideration, I have provided evidence with links that you can follow and verify, and draw your own conclusions. I have made my case as to why I believe the LINK token is currently priced much higher than evidence supports, and I ask you to peer-review my analysis and share your thoughts with me and with the wider LINK/crypto community.
Thank you for your time, I realize this is a long post. All questions and feedback welcome, feel free to comment or PM. I won't delete/censoblock (except for personal threats, safety considerations etc). I am a real human but I am not revealing my true identity for obvious privacy/harassment reasons.
(If anyone is wondering about my credentials ability to add 2+2 and work with basic spreadsheets: I have previously won a math competition in a USA state, I won an English-speaking country's physics olympiad, my university education is in mathematical physics/optimization engineering, and I worked for a few years in a global manufacturing company doing data analytics, obviously I'm not posting my CV here to verify that but I promise you it's the truth)
I’m not looking to spread neither FUD, nor blind faith, nor pure hype, and I want an honest transparent objective discussion. I personally believe more that LINK is overvalued, but my beliefs have evolved and may continue to do so as I research more and understand more about Chainlink, LINK, Ethereum, DeFi, and other related topics, and as I incorporate YOUR feedback. If you think I haven't disclosed something, ask.
As always, this is not financial advice and I am not liable for anything that may happen as a result of you reading this!
submitted by Stratocatter to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

A Physicist's Bitcoin Trading Strategy. No leverage, no going short, just spot trading. Total cumulative outperformance 2011-2020: 13,000,000%.

https://www.tradingview.com/script/4J5psNDo-A-Physicist-s-Bitcoin-Trading-Strategy/
3. Backtest Results
Backtest results demonstrate significant outperformance over buy-and-hold . The default parameters of the strategy/indicator have been set by the author to achieve maximum (or, close to maximum) outperformance on backtests executed on the BTCUSD ( Bitcoin ) chart. However, significant outperformance over buy-and-hold is still easily achievable using non-default parameters. Basically, as long as the parameters are set to adequately capture the full character of the market, significant outperformance on backtests is achievable and is quite easy. In fact, after some experimentation, it seems as if underperformance hardly achievable and requires deliberately setting the parameters illogically (e.g. setting one parameter of the slow indicator faster than the fast indicator). In the interest of providing a quality product to the user, suggestions and guidelines for parameter settings are provided in section (6). Finally, some metrics of the strategy's outperformance on the BTCUSD chart are listed below, both for the default (optimal) parameters as well as for a random sample of parameter settings that adhere to the guidelines set forth in section (6).
Using the default parameters, relative to buy-and-hold strategy, backtested from August 2011 to August 2020,
Using the default parameters, relative to buy-and-hold strategy, during specific periods,
Using a random sample (n=20) of combinations of parameter settings that adhere to the guidelines outlined in section (6), relative to buy-and-hold strategy, backtested from August 2011 to August 2020,
EDIT (because apparently not everybody bothers to read the strategy's description):
7. General Remarks About the Indicator
Other than some exponential moving averages, no traditional technical indicators or technical analysis tools are employed in this strategy. No MACD , no RSI , no CMF , no Bollinger bands , parabolic SARs, Ichimoku clouds , hoosawatsits, XYZs, ABCs, whatarethese. No tea leaves can be found in this strategy, only mathematics. It is in the nature of the underlying math formula, from which the indicator is produced, to quickly identify trend changes.
8. Remarks About Expectations of Future Results and About Backtesting
8.1. In General As it's been stated in many prospectuses and marketing literature, "past performance is no guarantee of future results." Backtest results are retrospective, and hindsight is 20/20. Therefore, no guarantee can, nor should, be expressed by me or anybody else who is selling a financial product (unless you have a money printer, like the Federal Reserve does).
8.2. Regarding This Strategy No guarantee of future results using this strategy is expressed by the author, not now nor at any time in the future.
With that written, the author is free to express his own expectations and opinions based on his intimate knowledge of how the indicator works, and the author will take that liberty by writing the following: As described in section (7), this trading strategy does not include any traditional technical indicators or TA tools (other than smoothing EMAs). Instead, this strategy is based on a principle that does not change, it employs a complex indicator that is based on a math formula that does not change, and it places trades based on five simple rules that do not change. And, as described in section (2.1), the indicator is designed to capture the full character of the market, from a macro/global scope down to a micro/local scope. Additionally, as described in section (3), outperformance of the market for which this strategy was intended during backtesting does not depend on luckily setting the parameters "just right." In fact, all random combinations of parameter settings that followed the guidelines outperformed the intended market in backtests. Additionally, no parameters are included within the underlying math formula from which the indicator is produced; it is not as if the formula contains a "5" and future outperformance would depend on that "5" being a "6" instead. And, again as described, it is in the nature of the formula to quickly identify trend changes. Therefore, it is the opinion of the author that the outperformance of this strategy in backtesting is directly attributable to the fundamental nature of the math formula from which the indicator is produced. As such, it is also the opinion of the author that continued outperformance by using this strategy, applied to the crypto ( Bitcoin ) market, is likely, given that the parameter settings are set reasonably and in accordance with the guidelines. The author does not, however, expect future outperformance of this strategy to match or exceed the outperformance observed in backtests using the default parameters, i.e. it probably won't outperform by anything close to 13,000,000% during the next 9 years.
Additionally, based on the rolling 1-month outperformance data listed in section (3), expectations of short-term outperformance should be kept low; the median 1-month outperformance was -2%, so it's basically a 50/50 chance that any significant outperformance is seen in any given month. The true strength of this strategy is to be out of the market during large, sharp declines and capitalizing on the opportunities presented at the bottom of those declines by buying the dip. Given that such price action does not happen every month, outperformance in the initial months of use is approximately as likely as underperformance.
submitted by anon2414691 to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

What is the latest consensus of rebalancing portfolios vs bitcoin hodling as of 2020?

I am wondering if the historical backtest data still confirms that holding a rebalanced "index" portfolio still outperforms just hodling BTC? Shrimpy confirmed that 2 years ago in 2018, but that was very short timeframe, does it still hold in power in 2020?
And if so, which portfolios have proven to outperform the longest? Of course, taking transaction fee costs and trading costs into account.

Also, isn't the problem with backtesting fact that in each timeframe a different backtesting model can outperform, but as time goes on there is absolutely no guarantee that it will keep outperforming?

If anyone has any recent data on this or just general observations on backtesting hodling btc vs hodling an "index" of cryptos, please do share.
submitted by BackgammonMasters to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Crypto trading experiment - FOMO vs FEAR - Week 1 (start)

Ok, so here is a crypto trading experiment I have been working on – FOMO vs FEAR. I actually started it 4-5 days ago, but only now have enough Karma to post.
Have you ever seen a crypto like LINK doing a monster bull run and wondered whether it is insane to buy at that point, or perhaps you think you could trade by simply buying into coins that have been pummelled in price, knowing that at some stage the price might recover.
Well let’s put it to the test. Using blockfolio I’m going to be putting in to place an experiment over the next ten weeks or so.
These are the rules:
I have five portfolios running against each other – no real money, just blockfolio based. Each starts with $1000
  1. A control portfolio holding only bitcoin;
  2. A “FOMO” portfolio, holding the top five % performers over the last week in the top 100 cryptos on CMC (ignoring anything with volume below $1M);
  3. Another “FOMO” portfolio, as above, but looking at the top five in the top 200 and ignoring volume below $250k);
  4. A “FEAR” portfolio, holding the five bottom % performers over the last week in the top 100 cryptos on CMC (ignoring anything with volume below $1M);
  5. Another “FEAR” portfolio, the five bottom, but looking at the top 200 (and ignoring volume below $250k).
Each week, each portfolio sells, and buys into another five coins based on the metrics above.
I have previously carried this out using daily performance, and rebalancing daily, but that created distortions with things like new binance listing spikes and so on. I hope the weekly recording, combined with looking at the top / bottom 100 vs 200 will give us an idea of whether there is any useful strategy here.
My thesis is that the FOMO coins will initially surge and do better, but that the FEAR coins will be a better buy towards the end each week / trading period.
I put this into place towards the end of last week and results are already running. I’ll do a detailed breakdown next week but so far we have the following. Each started with $1,000 and I have included the current values (after 4.5 days of being that position).
  1. BTC = $992.60 ( -1%)
  2. FOMO top 100: AOA, ELR, KAVA, CHSB, LINK = $991.54 (-1%)
  3. FOMO top 200: AOA, NIM, ERD, ANKR, MOF = $1,093 (+9%)
  4. FEAR top 100: DOGE, AMPL, QNT, COMP HEDG = $1,166 (+17%)
  5. FEAR top 200: XNS, NULS, DOGE, QNT, AMPL = $1,168 (+17%)
I ran this experiment for three weeks previously and it gave very interesting results (similar to those above - the "fear" coins always won) but I had made some recording errors so wanted to adjust and come back.
Any predictions on how this will go? Do you see any problems with my recording and rules? Are there any other portfolios you would suggest in a similar experiment?
submitted by Cryptodragonnz to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

What is the latest consensus of rebalancing portfolios vs bitcoin hodling as of 2020?

I am wondering if the historical backtest data still confirms that holding a rebalanced "index" portfolio still outperforms just hodling BTC? Shrimpy confirmed that 2 years ago in 2018, but that was very short timeframe, does it still hold in power in 2020?
And if so, which portfolios have proven to outperform the longest? Of course, taking transaction fee costs and trading costs into account.

Also, isn't the problem with backtesting fact that in each timeframe a different backtesting model can outperform, but as time goes on there is absolutely no guarantee that it will keep outperforming?

If anyone has any recent data on this or just general observations on backtesting hodling btc vs hodling an "index" of cryptos, please do share.
submitted by BackgammonMasters to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Ferrum Network (FRM)- Secured OTC trades (escrow) within wallet already LIVE

So, Ferrum has been around for longer than most coins mentioned here, but with the latest update to their UniFrye wallet app, I don't know how this project hasn't catapulted into the top 100 mcap rankings based on the below:
The PROS:
One of the biggest PROs is the news that came out over a week ago to little fanfare (and almost no price action) was the introduction of SECURED OTC TRADES from within the wallet!
https://unifyre.io/swap-drops/
https://medium.com/ferrumnetwork/introducing-swap-drops-risk-free-otc-trades-in-a-shareable-link-77ec95d01a4f
Using the UniFyre wallet, you essentially have access to smart-contract enforced, trustless escrow/OTC trades, AVAILABLE RIGHT NOW. Meanwhile, TrustSWAP, which is currently promising this feature but has not yet delivered, is valued at roughly 10x the marketcap of FRM ($80 million SWAP vs $8.5 million FRM).
They're also doing DeFi slash sales, which is essentially promotional OTC sales of projects at less than market value.
Also, the wallet is super-convenient; you can register an email, username, or login (if you choose), and then you can send/trade crypto via email addresses, usernames, etc instead of having to hunt down ETH addresses.

The CONS:
The downsides to FRM?: well, obviously marketing is a bit of an issue, because I feel like, with features like these available right now, this should be a bigger deal and there should be way more hype around the project. Also, they could go for a rebrand since Ferrum isn't a particularly great name (although their wallet, UnyFyre, has a fantastic name. Honestly, I wish they'd just rename the project and all associated branding to UniFyre's).

Conclusion:
I don't understand how this has flown under the radar, as much bigger projects, like TrustSWAP, are still promising this feature as the main selling point of their project without actually having delivered yet. TrustSWAP is sitting at a $79 million dollar marketcap, while Ferrum sits at an $8.5 million marketcap while ALREADY providing the promised functionality! The main feature here is the wallet, and there are many benefits to holding FRM within the wallet including access to AirDrops, access to Flash Sales, and access to dividends for all services provided by the wallet in FRM. Currently the price has retraced nicely and consolidated around 7c, which I think is an absolute steal.
Check out the website, and of course, do your own research prior to making any decisions!
submitted by youhaveaprettymouth to CryptoMoonShots [link] [comments]

Best Proof of Stake Coins for 2020 - My List

When I started this post about best Proof of Stake coins for 2020, I had no idea it'd end up this long, but the world of staking is really expanding it seems. If you guys have tips of other great staking coins, or thoughts on the ones brought up, feel free to chip in.
I expect this might open the door to chill fest. So readers should beware…
Staking is a strong trend in crypto in 2020 and a concept that has multiple success factors, compared to its Proof of Work predecessor.
By comparison, Proof of Staking is
  1. Environmentally friendly,
  2. Evens the field in the mining game, allowing pretty much anyone to partake, and above all
  3. Adds an actual use to keep the coins, in that keeping and staking them can build you even more value.
This said, not every staking coin is going to succeed, especially since there are already so many, and with time even more coins will become stakable. So, what should you look for, when considering a coin to stake?

Network Potential

A cryptocurrency only has true value, if it has an actual use. A currency could have the best setup for staking, ever, but if the network won’t be used for anything in particular, besides staking, then it’s not going to be likely that the coins gain value.
The likelihood of the network gaining more use in the future is therefore very important to look for. Staking generally means holding coins long term, so imminent news and current hype would be less important than the long-term potential.

Staking Model

What is the ROI staking could gain you? This is the first thing most people look at when they decide to invest in POS coins, but looking only at this would be very, very dangerous. Because unless the model is great; higher ROI will almost certainly also mean a higher loss of value as well.
It’s quite easy to have a network that prints great amounts of new coins that are handed out to stakers, but to think such coins could maintain their market value would be very naive.
A fair assumption is that increase in supply will affect the market cap neither up nor down. Look therefore in particular for systems of recycling, where heavy use of the network will yield higher rewards for the stakers, so that big rewards can be gained without increasing the total supply. Do rewards come only in one form, or in many? How does it affect the total supply of the currency?
Rewards for stakers in alternative currencies is also interesting, however, consider in these cases whether the alternative rewards ‘steal’ some of the potential value of the staked currency. Sometimes less is more.
Consider also the reasons of the staking? How important is the role of the stakers? Do they govern only the security of the network itself, or is their role even bigger than this? Perhaps they hold custody of locked-in crypto assets from other networks? Do they have a say or voting rights regarding future updates of the network? Who can partake? Networks vary a lot in the answers to these questions. Perhaps they will also shift with time.
In general, there may be some relation between the value of staking and the powers stakers are allowed. It’s good if the model is as inclusive as possible too. People don’t like being left out.

Long-Term Holder Supply Ratio

How many coins are staked and how easy is it to unstake them? This is another important thing to check, before you put any cryptocurrency on your own list of best Proof of Stake coins.
The supply ratio of staked coins vs unstaked coins vs exchange available coins is interesting. If many coins are bound in staking, this may mean that the ROI becomes low, but it also means that it’s a very stable currency, because those staked coins are ones that are less likely to be sold off soon. That factor may become completely irrelevant though if it is very simple to stake/unstake, because in this case any coin could be sold at exchanges at any time regardless of whether they are staked or unstaked.
Sometimes exchanges themselves may stake coins for their users, making the staked and exchange available supplies intertwined, severally handicapping any attempt to try to measure these things.
There is certainly a factor to consider here, but it’s much more complex than it may appear. What you should aim for is try to judge
  1. what % of the supply you believe might be actively traded and
  2. what % of the supply you believe would become actively traded if the price goes higher.
And generally, you want those to be as low as possible. Conditions of staking and amounts being staked, and amounts currently in exchanges are all clues to try to figure this out.

Decentralization

Cryptocurrency staking is generally carried out by nodes, who sign or validate the network and each node has a chance to be the next block signevalidator based on how many coins they have staked.
Generally, most networks will have some way for holders without nodes to offer the power of their tokens to holders with nodes. Such systems are generally called delegated Proof of Stake.
These systems are great in that they more easily include all who desire it (even those who have no desire to run a node) to be part of the staking process. However, the system also presents an issue of decentralization as popular nodes who offer good terms or extra rewards for those trusting their stake with them may also become so popular that they completely dominate the network. Generally, such nodes will be known as pools. These large pools may attain several advantages over small independent nodes as cost of operation, for example, maybe a much smaller part of the total yield.
Another common practice is that the number of validator nodes are limited to anything between 10 and 100 nodes and that holders generally stake their coins by voting on their favorite node as to choose which 10, 100, or whatever nodes get to be a signevalidator. Generally, such things are done to sacrifice decentralization for performance.
Decentralization is important because it offers greater security, and the more value network guards, the more important it becomes. Overall look for a system that is as open as possible to anyone (with enough stake) being a validator, and that preferably favors smaller nodes in terms of yield/staked coins.

Ease of Staking

This comes both with advantages and disadvantages. The big advantage here is that the easier it is to stake, the easier it will be to get a larger part of the tokens involved in the staking process and it might also be easier to engage new people to try it out, yielding an increase in demand.
On the other hand, making it easy, also makes it less of a commitment and if it’s possible to choose to unstake and sell on the same day then 100% of the supply must really be considered liquid, even if it is all staked. Good score for “Ease of Staking” and “Long-term holder supply ratio” therefore becomes an impossible combination.
In my opinion “Ease of Staking” is the more important factor out of the two, because if the network is to build value, it really needs to try and get as many people involved as possible.

Network Use

Perhaps the most important statistic to consider when judging the current health of the network is now used it actually is.
This can be seen at https://coinstats.network/, a site that tries to keep track of all the top networks in terms of actual use. Often staking rewards will be tied to spent gas in transactions, and thus rewards become higher as more gas is spent.
These are also in a sense “real rewards”, since they give the reward without increasing the circulating supply of the network and thus cause no inflation.

Current Market Evaluation

As when considering any type of coin, you need to consider if the coin is overvalued, undervalued, or neither - all things considered. Undervalued will yield a high score here - but always look for the reasons behind the low value before proceeding. Overvalued would likewise yield a low score – but if the high price is the only bad thing about it, it should still definitely be worth watching.
So, what are the Best Proof of Stake coins for 2020, in my subjective opinion?
Using these 7 factors I looked at over 40 coins and I’ve made an attempt to score 6 coins that I, myself, would consider staking and for each factor give them points on a scale (1-5)

1. FSN - Fusion: 19% ROI

Network potential – 5
Fusion aims to revolutionize Finance through the interoperability of all types of currencies and assets and enabling easy time-based contracts for anything. Large goals, so, the potential is indeed quite high.
Staking model – 5
Open to anyone to run a node if they have enough FSN. Those not wishing to run a node can trust node-runners with time-slices of their FSN in exchange for the yielded interest.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 4
Quite a large chunk of the supply is staked and unavailable for quick exchange.
Decentralization – 3
Larger pools currently hold an advantage over small nodes on the network. Still, many stakers choose to run their own node anyway, which is the only way to guarantee rewards 100%.
Ease of Use – 4
Running your own node requires some level of effort and insight, but using a pool is quite simple. Especially the new app WeDeFi that has daily interest payouts on FSN committed to staking. This has really made FSN staking much easier, but at the same time somewhat hurts decentralization.
Network Use – 4
In terms of actual network use, Fusion seems to be booming competing with many top coins.
Current market evaluation – 4
Many of you might be surprised to see FSN on the top of the list, but easily it could be one of the most underrated cryptos. Fusion has suffered from a large theft in Q3 last year, has had a complete lack of marketing for a while, has a record of getting ignored by peers, and has had trouble getting exchanges to adopt the main net resulting in it being severely undervalued. And as these issues are getting resolved it is seeing steady recovery.
Total score 29/35

2. ETH - Ethereum

Network potential – 5
Ethereum is a clear market leader in network use and the number of projects that have their roots in Ethereum is staggering. It is also a network that continues to evolve to keep up with the competition. As such, I’d be surprised if they don’t hold their spot as a major blockchain for a long time to come.
Staking model – (3)?
Staking on Ethereum has yet to go live, so I feel attempting to rate it may be unfair, so the score is put as average. All that can be said is that it has been much anticipated for a very long time, but that it suffers the disadvantage of being an afterthought and will have to co-exist with a PoW consensus for some time. It may not be ideal, but I still have hopes that it will be something very great as it no doubt will have consumed more thought and debate than any other model.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 5
ETH is one of the most actively traded tokens and they’ve more than enough time to find their way into the right hands who intend to keep them for a long time to come. No major party holds too much. So, even though staking hasn’t even begun it’s fair to give a high score here. ETH even kind of already has its own way to measure these things through its DeFi lock-ins, which is a pretty similar metric.
Decentralization – 5
In terms of decentralization, ETH is certainly leading the way with the largest number of active nodes of any blockchain.
Network Use – 5
There is absolutely no comparison here at the moment, for any other public blockchain.
Ease of Use – (3)?
As with the staking model, it’s unfair to rate this at this point in time. Thus a neutral rating.
Current market evaluation – 2
Though I’d consider ETH to be one of the safest investments out of all cryptocurrencies, it’s also very unlikely that it will see the biggest growth. So, though market evaluation is definitely not high, the room for growth in other networks is even higher.
Total score 28/35

3. ATOM – Cosmos: 13% ROI

Network potential – 4
Cosmos sets out primarily to solve the issue of interoperability between blockchains. Efforts so far, are highly respected by peers, which is important. Since so many set out to solve this as well, useful interoperability requires a high level of trust, and Cosmos are on the right path here.
Staking model – 4
The staking model seems to have found a good sweet spot between ease of use and commitment. But the limit of 100 validators would be a negative for anyone seeking to run their own node.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 5
A great majority of ATOM are locked into staking. This must definitely be seen as a great success for the network.
Decentralization – 4
The limit of validators is somewhat of an issue here for a growing network, though there seem to incentives to keep them balanced and in check, which is great.
Ease of Use – 3
There are various possibilities for punishment and time requirements and lock-ups, making it perhaps not the option of choice for more casual staking looking for good ROI.
Network Use – 4
Cosmos sees a decent amount of traffic on its network as evidence that it’s actually being used.
Current market evaluation – 2
ATOM has had a solid performance in the market, which is no surprise given that it looks like a promising network with a successful staking model. However, this also means that the market evaluation can’t really be called undervalued.
Total score 26/35

DCR - Decred: 10% ROI

Network Potential – 2
It doesn’t appear to me that Decred has any specific goal or purpose, so maybe you'll be surprised why it is on my list of best POS coins for 2020. This crypto project aims to be an ideal all-purpose Blockchain. Not a bad goal, however, can it really engage people’s imagination enough to really grow?
Staking model – 5
Decred may have been the first system using a model of ticketed staking that’s open to anyone, also used by Fusion, for example. There’s really not much to complain about. It’s been running for years and is still very much relevant.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 4
A lot of DCR is bound in staking.
Decentralization – 5
Decred is a community-oriented project and has been for a long time. Focus on decentralization comes naturally as a result.
Ease of Use – 3
Despite having been around for a long time staking DCR, doesn’t seem to have hit the super simple stage yet, even if there are good guides that can quickly teach someone how to do it.
Network Use – 3
The network is used and I’d wager the use is mostly real/meaningful as it’s a community-oriented project. But it’s far from leader inactivity.
Current market evaluation – 3
I’d say Decred is neither undervalued nor overvalued.
Total score 25/35

BNT - Bancor

Network potential – 4
Bancor is a DEX which has set out to decentralize the provision of liquidity. A good idea and steady progress towards the goal seem to constantly be shaping up. At the same time, it seems as though they fail deeply with market awareness. To my knowledge, they were the first DEX to go cross-chain offering trading of tokens running both on Ethereum and EOS. I’m expecting them to continue to lead the way and eventually become a full-blown crypto DEX across any network.
Staking model – 5
Staking is usually about the safety of the network through decentralization. But BNT doesn’t have its own network, so staking here is about something else entirely. It’s about providing liquidity for exchange pairings. Liquidity is the big issue that DEX has in trying to compete with a CEX. Therefore, allowing BNT stakers to help out in this task is absolutely genius. It’s a difficult model to compare to other staking models, and even ROI will depend on which pairing you support with your stake. Since I prefer originality over more of the same, it gets a top score.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 2
Only about 30% of BNT seem to be locked in staking and the way to watch this figure is also a bit unclear. In future upgrades, this may improve and may also make staking both easier and more popular.
Decentralization – 3
It’s tough to give a score here for BNT as it does not compare to other staking networks. As a DEX it seems to have different layers. A noteworthy event was that bancor.network was closed to US users, but the DEX could supposedly be interacted with anyway through alternative user interfaces. To me, that is promising.
Ease of Use – 2
Though BNT tokens have a very clear use as liquidity providers in BNT staking, it’s clear that many holders still haven’t figured out how to do this or felt enough reason to get involved. So, something might be missing in terms of making it user-friendly.
Network Use – 4
A good DEX is expected to be busy, and it’s clear that Bancor has a decent amount of network activity and I’d expect it to go up as development expands and more and more activity starts to mover from CEXs to DEXs.
Current market evaluation – 4
BNT has seen a recent increase in price after very little action for a long time. I feel it’s still very much undervalued and that it has yet to be truly discovered as a token that can be used for staking.
Total score 24/35

IOST - IOS: 13% ROI

Network potential – 4
IOST aims to be perhaps the top blockchain in areas such as speed and tx-throughput, while still having as many parties involved in their decentralization. They have many impressive partners and describe themselves as a network with the combined benefits of Ethereum, EOS, and IOTA. The goal is, it seems, to be the best of the best. At the same time, I don’t see anything new and unique here, which is usually needed to really succeed.
Staking model – 3
The network is closed for anonymous nodes. To run a node, you need to be an IOST-partner. What is good is that partners need to split their rewards with the stakers who vote on them. In a sense, it’s an improved POA system and quite a good model. But it certainly cannot claim complete openness to all.
Long-term holder supply ratio – 2
Though the amount of bound IOST seems to be really high, it’s also supported by all kinds of partners/exchanges/applications. It seems built to be easy and smooth and not bound away from exchange possibilities.
Decentralization – 3
Since you need to apply to be part of the validation process this immediately hurts decentralization a lot. The methods/abilities to keep each node in check by holders/stakers are quite good though. So for, what it is, I think a decent score here is appropriate.
Ease of Use – 5
IOST staking has great support from what I can tell and might even be tough avoiding completely.
Network Use – 1
Despite its high throughput plans and many partners, next to nothing seems to be happening on the network today.
Current market evaluation – 2
The ‘best blockchain’ niche is a tough one with many players competing. To succeed you really need to stand out and be able to show actual network usage. IOST may well do this, but there’s definitely also a chance that it’s overvalued at the moment. This could quickly change of course as a really high throughput blockchain may have areas of use not seen by other blockchains, as of yet.
Total score 20/35
--
As I said at the beginning, If you guys have tips of other great staking coins, or thoughts on the ones brought up, feel free to chip in, to share your own list of POS coins for 2020 and whatever you feel like sharing.
submitted by cryptomir to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Crypto trading experiment - FEAR vs FOMO - Week 4

Crypto trading experiment - FEAR vs FOMO - Week 4

I previously posted my experiment below to experiment with a simulation trading of five portfolios, with a control portfolio of bitcoin, competing against two "FOMO" and two "FEAR" portfolios (tracking the top or bottom performers in the top 100 and 200 CMC rankings). Each week the portfolios sell and rebalance into five coins.
This is week 4 into the experiment - weeks, 1-3 posted below:
https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/huslrk/crypto_trading_experiment_fomo_vs_fear_week_1/
https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/hwoezd/crypto_trading_experiment_fomo_vs_fear_week_1/
https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/i0ilyn/crypto_trading_experiment_fomo_vs_fear_week_3/
Results are out for week 3 - lets see how our last performers did. New portfolios below with their purchase prices for each crypto and current total value (see the links above to see the previous holdings). Please note these are prices logged around 20 hours ago, so there is some time lag (including with the older portfolios which I am still tracking live):
BTC 100%: $1,272 = +27% - BTC really is the king! Destroying all other alt returns right now.
FOMO 100 = Elrond, Flexacoin (0.0048), Eth (318.59), LTC (54.85), BCH (285.62) - TOTAL value $1,001 (up from $970.94 - a 3% gain in the week)
FOMO 200 = Travala (1.83) - +158%, Adex (0.2866), Solona (1.70), Elrond (0.02548), voyager (0.16818) TOTAL value $917.57 (down from $970.94 - a 5.4 fall)
FEAR 100 = Ampleforth, Aurora (0.01156), Band (3.84), iExec RLC (1.11), Compound (132.79) Total value $1200,29 (up from $990.16 - a massive 21.2% gain in a week)
FEAR 200 = Ampleforth (1.17), IRISnet (0.0474), RSR (0.009132), Haven (1.65), Velas (0.048962) Total value $1,023.41 (up 4.6% in the week).
Notable performers were Band (up around 90%, partly thanks to a coinbase listing), Aurora (+58%), Iris (+40%), Elrond (-21%), ETH (+27%) and Ampleforth (down from US $1.17 to $0,80c). And note that the "FEAR" portfolios still did relatively well despite holding AMPL.
So in order we now have the following total values:
BTC 100% = $1,272
FEAR 100 = $1200.29
FEAR 200 = $1023
FOMO 100 = $1001
FOMO 200 = $917.57
We can also look at the values had we simply held any of the previous weekly portfolios (which I'm still tracking):
FOMO 100 (week 1 = $1,184), (week 2 = $1053),
FOMO 200 (week 1 = $1,082), (week 2 = $1,157)
FEAR 100 (week 1 = $1007), (week 2 = $1,081)
FEAR 200 (week 1 = $929), (week 2 = $1,019)
So look at all possible portfolios - a 100% bitcoin portfolio beats everything! But the top portfolio is still the FEAR 10 portfolio at week 3 - very close at +20%. The worse possible performer is the current "FOMO 200" portfolio at $917 or around -8.5%. So interesting, this suggests that the rotation method of buying losers and reshuffling may be the best strategy, whereas always buying the winners is the worst! And that despite all that, so far, just holding BTC is the best!
So as might be expected, buying into "losers" on the weekly really pays off compared to buying "winners" but so far BTC is king. Will this be the case if alt coins regain their shine?
Rebalancing and rebuying into week 5 gives us four new portfolios to follow:
FOMO 100: Band, Ocean, Bancor, Energy Web Token, Hedge Trade;
FOMO 200: DOS, Akropolis, Bora, Band, Vidt
FEAR 100: Ampleforth, Nexo, Elrond, Elasto, True Web
Fear 200 - Digitex, Ampleforth, ABBC, Nexo, Elrond.
What is notable is that now the "FEAR" portfolios share quite a few choices but in particular, AMPL remains in the Fear portfolios for two weeks in a row - I'm not sure we have had that before.
Also - a few coins jump from FEAR to FOMO or vice visa - Band jumps from FEAR to FOMO, and ELROND jumps from FOMO to FEAR!
Stay tuned for next weeks results.
submitted by Cryptodragonnz to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Crypto Trading Experiment : FOMO vs FEAR - Week 3

I previously posted my experiment below to experiment with a simulation trading of five portfolios, with a control portfolio of bitcoin, competing against two "FOMO" and two "FEAR" portfolios (tracking the top or bottom performers in the top 100 and 200 CMC rankings). Each week the portfolios sell and rebalance into five coins.
This is the third week into the experiment - weeks 1 and 2 posted below:
https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/huslrk/crypto_trading_experiment_fomo_vs_fear_week_1/
https://www.reddit.com/CryptoCurrency/comments/hwoezd/crypto_trading_experiment_fomo_vs_fear_week_1/
Results are out for week 2 - notably this all took place during the HUGE bitcoin run, which has had a significant effect on ALL of the alts below. Also, the "FEAR" portfolios bought into Ampleford when it was "only" down to $1.15 (-44% on the weekly) - and at one point it was 65c today - so the very definition of catching a falling knife! Will they recover?
New portfolios below with their current value (see the links above to see the previous holdings)
100% BTC = $1,187 (15% from last week - +18.7% total) - now in front place!
FOMO Top 100 = Swipe, BAND, Terra, ABBC, DGTX - $970.94 (-5.5% on the week, -2.9% total)
FOMO Top 200 = SysCoin, Loki, Noia, Origin Trail, Swipe $940.10 (-10.6% on the week%, - 6% total)
FEAR Bottom 100 = Midas Touch, Bytom, Swiss Borg, Link, Ve-Chain $990.16 (-6.7% on the week, -1% total)
FEAR Boom 200 = Midas Touch, Bytom, Swiss Borg, Link, Super Zero. $977.30 (-8% on the week, -2.3% total).
As you will see, the "FEAR" portfolios are still outperforming the FOMO portfolios but they are losing ground. The best performer overall is the FEAR bottom 100, and even that is still below the initial investment.
Now for another observation - if we have not done ANY rebalancing and stuck with our original week 1 portfolio, we would have these results (with performance compared to the above)
FOMO top 100: AOA, ELR, KAVA, CHSB, LINK = $1,019 (+4.9%)
FOMO top 200: AOA, NIM, ERD, ANKR, MOF = $1,025 (+9%)
FEAR top 100: DOGE, AMPL, QNT, COMP HEDG = $887 (-5.6%)
FEAR top 200: XNS, NULS, DOGE, QNT, AMPL = $906 (-7.3%)
This is kind of interesting. Had you simply sat tight, the FOMO portfolios would have actually out performed the FEAR portfolios, and would still be in the positive in terms of USD. On the other hand, you would have been worse off just sitting in the bottom performing coins - so it is possible they only have a brief, temporary rally and then keep falling.
Selling and rebalancing into new portfolios gives us the following (with prices during the snapshot):
FOMO 100 = Elrond, Flexacoin (0.0048), Eth! (318.59), LTC (54.85), BCH (285.62)
FOMO 200 = Travala (1.83) - +158%, Adex (0.2866), Solona (1.70), Elrond (0.02548), voyager (0.16818)
FEAR 100 = Ampleforth, Aurora (0.01156), Band (3.84), iExec RLC (1.11), Compound (132.79)
FEAR 200 = Ampleforth (1.17), IRISnet (0.0474), RSR (0.009132), Haven (1.65), Velas (0.048962)
Aside from Ampleforth, what is interesting here is that the "FOMO 100" portfolio has three top ten coins, showing that the recent run has been very "high cap" coin intensive.
Tune in next week to see if these holdings recover!
submitted by Cryptodragonnz to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

Bitbuy vs Kraken

I went through the process of researching Kraken and Bitbuy for a Canadian $ entry into crypto and thought I'd give a comparison of both for folks living in Canada.
I was already a long time member of Kraken but had to verify again as my account had been locked due to lack of use (stupid bear market lol). Anyway within a day of back and forth emails with support I was back in again.
For Bitbuy I needed to create an account which required 3 documents including a Driver's License and selfie holding it. Pretty sure Kraken would ask for similar docs if I had to create a new account with them. Anyway it took them 1 business day to verify my account and I was good to go. Overall both exchanges were quick to respond and helpful.
Onto depositing CAD fiat. Kraken only has 2 methods of depositing money which are:
There are a few stipulations for the wire transfer. "The name on the bank account you are depositing from must match the name entered for verification on the Kraken account you are depositing into." Also you must send Canadian Dollars (CAD) only. Min is $125 and max $300000
For Bitbuy the options to deposit were better as they have 4 options:
Since I want to make relatively small deposits on a regular basis I would rather pay a small percentage than the flat $20 bank fee for the wire transfer. Also with a free interac e-transfer I don't have to go into my branch which is super convenient. I opted to try Bitbuy over Kraken using an interac e-tranfer which went through within 12 hours. Deposited $200 and received $196.55 in my account.
I will say volume is lower than Kraken so the trade price is higher...usually around $30 per BTC more. However that fluctuates and the ease of fiat to crypto gateway was worth it IMO.
As for trading fees Bitbuy has a promotion for May where if you use their pro version instead of express trade (think coinbase vs GDAX) there are zero trading fees. After that it's 0.16% for maker and 0.26% for taker. Using express is 0.75% for buying and 0.5% for selling so might as well use pro. Kraken's fees range from 0% to 0.26% of the total cost (value) of your order. So comparable I guess.
I have not tried to withdraw any fiat from either account yet but when I do I will choose Kraken first. This is because their withdrawal fees for an EFT is 0.25% with a $50 minimum, whereas Bitbuy offers Interac e-transfer at 1.75% or a bank transfer at 2%.
So that's about it for my comparison. If you're living in Canada and found this useful feel free to use my Bitbuy referral code G2ZTNR5DO and help me out when you create a new account. You also get $20 for your first $100 deposit.
Hope you found this useful. Let me know how your experience went for fiat into crypto. :)
TLDR: Bitbuy wins for ease of CAD deposit and Kraken wins for cheapest withdrawals.
submitted by 7_Maybe_7_and_a_bit to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

What is Masternode? Why Is XinFin Masternode a Good Alternative to Proof of Work

Taking into account current market conditions more and more crypto enthusiasts are gaining interest in being rewarded for holding tokens. Ain’s it’s beneficial than patiently waiting for the moon? Traditional Proof-of-Work (PoW) mining is not in the best shape. Therefore miners are not an exception as it’s getting harder to stay profitable. Plus, PoW mining isn’t friendly for mass adoption and requires huge network consumption. Another important fact is that you do not have to be a trading guru to start gaining additional income. These are just a few reasons why more buzz have been around the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and Masternodes (MN). We have to admit that they are eye-catching nowadays, and considered as the future of cryptocurrency.
Now you might be asking yourself “What is the Masternode?” Let’s get down to business!
Well, in a nutshell, masternode is a server on a decentralized network. Some blockchain protocols provide for the creation of particular nodes that perform additional work on the verification of transactions and bring their owners regular profits. Such nodes are called masternodes. They regularly get rewards for completing such actions. Builds a curiosity? Move on!
Why Do You Need to Launch a XinFin Masternode Now, Until it’s Not Too Late? XinFin Masternode is a good option for passive income, and there are several reasons why it might be the right time to start running a XinFin masternode or a few at once.
First of all, XinFin masternodes are not so famous for now. However, this is likely to change soon. The same applies to rewards, which will decrease every year. Secondly, the XinFin XDC coin is cheaper, which means that the entry threshold at the moment is much lower than before. It won’t cost you a fortune. Finally, it’s better to hold and get rewards than merely hope for prices to go up.
Although according to the CoinGecko 2018 report the numbers of both masternodes and masternode coins increased significantly during the past year, there is still a substantial drop in overall value. The total market cap for masternodes coins dropped from over $12 billion in January 2018 to just over $500 million by 2018’s end — a double-digit drop quarter-on-quarter. Nevertheless, it’s just the beginning of the XinFin. Remember, the early bird gets the worm!
What is the Average XinFin Masternode ROI? Take in mind, that ROI is a relative term in the context of cryptocurrency space. We got used to the practice that ROI in crypto space is a bit another term, unlike the traditional markets where XinFin ROI measures per year around 10%+ as per the past few months’ data.
How to Setup Masternode: It’s very easy to setup XinFin Masternode compare to setting us crypto mining facility for Bitcoin and ethereum.
XinFin vs bitcoin mining: XinFin Masternode needs the lowest hardware configuration to run masternode while bitcoin needs the high configuration of hardware to run bitcoin mining and this also results in high depreciation every month with high risk. While XinFin Masternode runs with a tiny VPS hosting plan with the lowest cost of operation.
Before the launch of XinFin main-net i used to do bitcoin and ethereum mining And now shifted to XinFin network after the launch of main-net
Disclaimer: Digital asset investment, Mining comes with high risk. This article is not for the purpose of investment, tax or legal advice. The author is not responsible for any review of the assets. Please consult with your financial advisor before Crypto Investment or starting mining facilities
Useful link for XinFin Masternode Here is a link on How to setup masternode.
IndSoft System partnership with XinFin for hosting masternode: Click here to know more about partnership.
Guide to setup node with one click installer
For any instant support join XinFin Telegram Group.
submitted by dojogang to u/dojogang [link] [comments]

Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital

Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital

Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital


Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital


Ever wonder why when you trade your stop gets tagged? Although you put it in a spot where "There's no way price will want to reach my stop level for sure this time"
As a trader, particularly a new trader – I've always wondered why my stops were only tagged for the price of running briefly the area that I've ever so carefully researched ... hit my stop point ..... then move on in the direction of my original study and run to the point where my profit should have been taken.
Everything leaving me wondering ...... In the hell for what did this do??? Obviously this is a common issue that has plagued most traders. At least, I know that I have faced this very problem for years.

What I noticed was that there was a very distinctive pattern going on, and it was repeating itself again and again. I noticed that the traditional supply and demand theory, support and resistance zones, or double top / double bottom trading patterns that I have been told time and time again that price has always covered these regions, was not really a real thing.

The argument had been, ..... Put me into the shoes of the major investment banks vs. the home-trading fighter who was going to conquer the markets every day. If you were a large company with an infinite supply of money and you decided to bring a massive chunk of it into the game, you can't just dump the whole lot into the game and demand all your orders to be filled out at once, then take off the price in the direction you want .... no ..... That is not exactly the way it operates.All these major organizations need to do is pair orders.

And they match that order by sending the markets to areas where liquidity is high .... The stops AKA!

Let 's say you 're evaluating the markets, for example, and deciding that price wants to go higher than an old regular target as it's in a bullish uptrend at the moment. And you see price for the past day, or so, not willing to go any lower.
What looks like a bit of a demand shelf or support level where the demand is all in a nice tight clustered row that just doesn't seem to want to go down and you know for sure this time price won't go under that heavily protected area ..... only for the price to run down quickly and refuse to go up (in this case a long position).
And I started to note that these "secure zones" or places where price is certainly not going to come up / down to be simply used by these large entities as feeding grounds for harvesting liquidity and adding more positions to include them in a larger movement.

They need a lot of money to buy in and just to do so, your sell stop is great. Many traders put their stops below this tight pack range of candles a few pips / ticks / cents believing they 're secure as price obviously doesn't want to come down below them. And most traders have their positions liquidated by the hungry major capital banks to feed the whole push higher than you were originally right about.

And how can you stop this pitfall happening to you is the million-dollar question? There are a few ways to handle this and keep your hard-earned money from being ripped away from you in an moment, which you have at risk in the markets.

Stop-Hunting and the Hunger For New Capital

I found that you would do much better in your trading career if you look at these areas (in the above example a long position) as a chance rather than a safe zone to put your stop. What I mean by that is, anticipate them coming down under those equal lows and try to get far below it instead of getting long above the area of consolidation. Yeah, that means you're going to have to go long when the competition runs against you and I know , I know, it feels really uncomfortable and wrong and goes against all you've been taught ... but believe me that this approach can give you the very best possible entries.
Imagine: getting into the day 's low and riding price action all the way up to the top of everyday scale!!! Wouldn't this be terrific?

Well, if your quantitative skills are timely and your business research tells you to go a long way, then all you need to do is wait for the perfect entry. Let the price build up and create "demand shelf" or support areas for that. Let the market shift sideways and bounce around like a pinball mocking all the other traders who were at the top of these stuff for a long time and put their stops just below them in hopes that the price would not come down and stop them. All the while playing with and holding their emotions on the cliff of –Will this be a winner, or a trade loser? So when price does the unimaginable and runs below the support area and scoops up all the traders stops you can then go long and take part in the glorious upside of being right – and of course make some money doing it.

Notice facile? Well, that is not so. It takes patience and timing and experience to catch all those eager participants who keep their stops on a silver platter for the fat and thirsty banks to suck them up, as the markets normally send price south of the border.
Stop-Loss and the Hunger For New Capital (meme)

You have to define the times of the day when the wrong move is made apparent.
Or when they make that low of the day – typically within the 1st 1 – 4 hours
of the trading day, and I don't mean either when the banks come online at 8 a.m. NY.
I mean 12 am, at the beginning of the day.
So yes you 're definitely going to have to be awake if you like watching
price do its thing and don't trust the process of buying into those down candles.
And use a limit order like me-then go to sleep and trust your overall analysis to be right and wake up to your morning with a nice little start.
But the trick is-where are you going to shop under the lows?

And where does your stop then go when you buy?

Those are all interesting questions that I should seek to answer clearly here – but alas, all markets are different.

Yet general rule of thumb as follows:

  1. You should predict that such stop-sweeps will occur in grades 5 and 10. The average is usually about 10, cents, pips, ticks or otherwise. The bigger the step down the more likely it is not a stop raid and potentially a reversal of the pattern. And you can prevent too much danger and keep the stop fairly secure.
Your stop will need to go low on the 1hr map below the next move. As a minimum, and yes, that may mean a greater risk level that you are usually prepared to take.
However if that is the case then try to turn your power back.
You don't need to make every trade worth a million dollars.
This is about continuity, when dealing, not winning the draw.
In your research you need to be sure the price will push higher as this is how the overall trend directions point it.
I am not recommending trade in these types of trades against the trend.
You need to be in full agreement with the direction of the total daily level.
And bringing it in.

Also, a great way to place the maximum risk reward for your take profit:

Attempt to position it in places above the market where short-sellers will stop.

And in a nutshell, with a bit of analysis, all the knowledge I described above can be readily found, I didn't come up with it on my own and these ideas are not unique. Yet how you adapt them to your particular trading style is up to you and relies on your interpretation of these principles for your success and/or failure. Price is fractal and would want to return to markets it has previously sold before – if you accept the basic fact you ought to be doing very well in your business career.

Eva " Forex " Canares .
Cheers and Profitable Trading to All.

About FTMO -
They fund forex traders. Just Pass their risk management rules and begin trading for their company. They'll provide you capital up to $300k USD for trading the financial markets. 70% of profits you keep and losses are covered by them. How does it work?
How to Become a Funded Forex ,Stocks or CryptoCurrency Trader?
submitted by Eva_Canares to FTMO_Forex_Trading [link] [comments]

As awareness is increasing for Quant after recent announcements, here is an overview and links to find more info about this fantastic project

As awareness is increasing for Quant after recent announcements, here is an overview and links to find more info about this fantastic project
1/ As awareness is increasing for @quant_network after recent announcements I encourage everyone to see the thread below providing more details around the project. Excellent Team, Tech, Use cases, Tokenomics, Partners has it all.
https://preview.redd.it/usj6bepzvz751.png?width=1345&format=png&auto=webp&s=bf859c622fcf2fdebf9c1be24b369e7a8312119d
2/ Quant’s Overledger Blockchain Operating System not only provides interoperability between all the leading Enterprise and Public Blockchains but also connecting the world’s networks to blockchain with just 3 lines of code.
https://preview.redd.it/1tf32qb1wz751.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6d7c437d5b764916fab8fdfefe787ad2afce38f
3/ Unlike other solutions, Overledger solves interoperability at scale without the overhead/bottleneck/single point of failure of adding another blockchain in the middle, nor does it impose restrictions / require blockchains to fork their code to connect.
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/what-is-a-blockchain-operating-system-and-what-are-the-benefits-c561d8275de6
4/ Overledger is not a blockchain itself, but an OS that runs on top of multiple blockchains, providing a platform to build and use multi chain applications and abstracts all of the complexities involved with integrating with all the different blockchains
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/blockchain-operating-system-learning-from-the-past-to-build-a-better-future-92142c823d30
5/ #Interoperability is more than just Blockchain-to-Blockchain. True Interoperability is Any-to-Any.@quant_network are launching a universal connector for Overledger which allows for any API to connect to any Blockchain through Overledger.
https://preview.redd.it/taxpb9p3wz751.png?width=806&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c527753dc62ab00756c8a32fa16134b91df8821
6/ This will mean APIs like IFTTT/ZapiePayment APIs/Banking APIs/IoT APIs etc can now seamlessly interoperate with Blockchains through Overledger. You can integrate pretty much any tech and API into Overledger
https://preview.redd.it/7f35q465wz751.png?width=1199&format=png&auto=webp&s=09dd7480212eb44903a683e81ecb9878ff077fbe
7/ Quant's approach is superior, enabling scalable interoperability, can connect any blockchain / existing network, future proof and without imposing limitations / requiring connected chains to fork their code
See https://twitter.com/CryptoSeq/status/1270237869043572737
and this article https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/quant-networks-overledger-part-two-the-layers-of-overledger-ea23a7148af1
8/ Every Blockchain has their own advantages and disadvantages. Why compromise on one platform when with Multi-chain Applications (MAPPs) you can combine the best features from multiple? Why have the risk and limitations of Vendor Lock in?
9/ Only Overledger enables Treaty Contracts, where you can deploy, query and execute multi-chain smart contracts. Bridge and extend smart contracts across multiple blockchains.
10/ Overledger Network is due to launch in a few days and is a Network of Networks, which allows enterprise and communities stakeholders to access and participate in a growing hyper-connected decentralised ecosystem
https://preview.redd.it/00z37ih7wz751.png?width=679&format=png&auto=webp&s=b073064f717953e6329a07bc61f3d77dd334f643
11/ Enterprises, banks, central banks, trading venues, etc will be able to host their own secure dedicated gateways, enabling secure connectivity to permissioned networks, permissionless networks, ecosystems, consortia and other distributed technologies.
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/the-network-of-networks-scalable-interoperability-to-unleash-the-true-potential-of-blockchain-c54e7d373d2d
12/ Community members will also be able to run an Overledger gateway to further enhance the scalability, decentralisation and optimise network latency, providing enterprises, developers and users choice to use the closest gateway when accessing permissionless blockchains.
13/ The Overledger gateways will create a scalable p2p network that shares the transaction and volume between participants and chooses the closest or largest node to transact with
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/how-the-overledger-network-community-treasury-powers-the-network-of-networks-b716b01d8284
14/ Quant will be open sourcing the connectors so that anyone can connect their favourite blockchain to Overledger Network and benefit from increased adoption from the Enterprises, Developers and users of all the existing connected blockchains / networks.
15/ Partners: Quant have partnered with SIA, the leading financial network provider in Europe and both companies are confident that this development will play an integral part in building the financial infrastructure of the future globally
https://www.sia.eu/en/media-events/news-press-releases/quant-network-and-sia-successfully-tested-blockchain-interoperability
16/ SIA provide a private financial network which is the backbone of the European financial market. SIA and SWIFT are the only 2 providers for the Eurosystem Single Market Infrastructure Gateway, granting access to all RTGS, Securities and Instant Payment transactions for Europe.
17/ Overledger is integrated into SIAChain part of that private financial network (SIAnet) that is the backbone of the european financial market, enabling the 580 banks, central banks, trading venues that are building projects on SIAChain to benefit from scalable Interoperability
18/ Some of the largest blockcain projects in the world are being launched on SIAChain, one of those is the Spunta project.
Spunta is a huge project consisting of the entire italian banking system and looks to further expand into europe
https://www.r3.com/videos/italian-banking-association-and-r3/
19/ Another project building on SIAChain is Fideiussioni Digitali, a digital sureties project with the Bank of Italy sia.eu/en/media-event… as well as potential trial platform for digital euro
To read more about the partnership with SIA is a game changer
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/quant-network-partner-with-sia-a-game-changer-for-mass-blockchain-adoption-by-financial-9059ab411069
20/ Quant have partnered with Oracle (the 2nd largest Software provider in the world) as a Fintech Partner to deliver financial services infrastructure.
Quant are enabling #interoperability of DLTs to deliver mission-critical business applications and workloads for FS clients.
https://preview.redd.it/o15tnnr9wz751.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=8aba1e61de76b39b4f82ce9a3f8a15b456b674f5
https://preview.redd.it/qdnu6piawz751.png?width=1012&format=png&auto=webp&s=b25bee3d43a6d6cc56eab1ad594c656c07658de1
21/ Oracle invited Quant to attend the leading financial event of the year - SWIFT SIBOS where Oracle were co-marketing with Quant to take their solution to their 480,000 clients including meetings with Banks / Central Banks
https://preview.redd.it/oer1rbxbwz751.png?width=770&format=png&auto=webp&s=802d9edfc82fe383aacacd16eabe733a20860703
22/ Another fantastic partnership is with @SimbaChain. It is a smart-contract-as-a-service (SCaaS) platform, enabling users across a variety of skill sets to implement dapps. They are developing on Overledger to allow them to deploy DAPPs across multiple connected blockchains.
23/ SIMBA Chain have recently been awarded a $9.5 million contract with the US Navy, they are also working with the US Air Force. They have a thriving ecosystem with over 2300 Organizations and 1150+ Applications developed.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-navy-bets-95m-on-blockchain-to-keep-messaging-secret
24/ Quant are working with clients in the Capital Market space such as AX Trading to bring more digital assets, securities and tokenised assets to their existing 800 institutional traders in an already live and connected FINRA and SEC regulated exchange.
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/wall-street-2-0-17252ffd8919
25/ @quant_network's Interchange enables FIAT to be representing on a blockchain enabling Delivery vs Payment across multiple blockchains with cross chain atomic swaps as well as integrating into existing payment rails such as Faster Payments, CHAPS, SEPA, SWIFT, PAY UK
https://preview.redd.it/8w39juydwz751.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=0c8cfec6050ff2d6b27922ba640bfbb549fa9db1
https://preview.redd.it/fnxfo0qewz751.png?width=924&format=png&auto=webp&s=a3573556d7081e672bb86e31500f06a75f6ca662
26/ Enormous traditional exchanges like Fidelity, SIX, Nasdaq, Deutsche Borse will soon be entering the space, offering Digital Assets that are traded today on Crypto exchanges as well as tokenising Stocks, bringing in enormous amounts of investment from institutional investors.

https://preview.redd.it/w6scjpnvwz751.png?width=430&format=png&auto=webp&s=fc7051595807a58fbe5505b8ccacc58f135ded61
https://preview.redd.it/p5i5rwdwwz751.png?width=1100&format=png&auto=webp&s=e050c5fc5ac4614313e4fd737c1d2c5bf9dcfc31
27/ Quant were made a guarantor of Pay.uk - the UK’s largest payment network. Through this relationship, Quant will shape the payment ecosystem and help set the strategic direction of the Payments infrastructure and adopting the New Payments Architecture (NPA).
https://preview.redd.it/vqg19hngwz751.png?width=770&format=png&auto=webp&s=85bc997d93e052a8e1d0e574a1509c06cb996237
28/ Quant have also partnered with AUCloud and UKCloud to provide highly secure and interoperable Blockchain-as-a-Service for Australian Government and Defence and the critical national industries and supply chains that serve the nation.
https://www.quant.network/blog/quant-network-and-aucloud-partner-to-provide-worlds-first-blockchain-operating-system-for-government-and-critical-national-industries
29/ And others such Crowdz a leading blockchain-based trade finance company who are partnered with Barclaycard and recently received $5.5 million Series A Investment from Barclays Bank and others
As well as being a member of Hyperledger, MOBI and more
https://medium.com/@CryptoSeq/large-enterprise-adoption-of-blockchain-is-happening-enabled-by-quant-networks-overledger-32321b650115
30/ The Team: Gilbert Verdian the CEO - his CV speaks for itself. Before starting Quant he was the Chief Information Security Officer for Vocalink (Mastercard) and was in charge of security for the entire payments in the UK managing £6 Trillion per year
https://www.gilbertverdian.com/cv/
31/ Martin Hargreaves recently joined as Chief Product Officer. He has 12 years experience at Vocalink and was the Vice President of Product. Vocalink (Mastercard) manage the entire payments system for the UK as well as other payment networks in the US, Singapore
https://preview.redd.it/mfzp5bfiwz751.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=d3f7f16e5f2f8ad27907f5b94e5af3aadb548d18
32/ Guy Dietrich the managing director of Rockefeller Capital (who manage assets worth over $30 billion) joined the board of directors and has attended meetings personally with Gilbert such as with the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK
https://preview.redd.it/on3qgijkwz751.png?width=619&format=png&auto=webp&s=d7a2c38edd0efd32487c33b0b552ed54eefd18d8
33/ Gilbert founded ISO TC 307, the globally recognized standard which has 57 countries working towards. This is vitally important for Enterprise / Government adoption and designed from the start to adhere to those rather than have to redesign it later.
https://preview.redd.it/b9ugauimwz751.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d9c483e3017310814220260711fd737edc55fcb
34/ Not only do they have enormous meaningful partnerships, advanced tech that's solving a problem which is very much needed and an excellent team, they also have the best tokenomics i have seen in a project and is integral to everything.
https://preview.redd.it/udtf3w9owz751.png?width=1345&format=png&auto=webp&s=42cfe696b777591bb034dd71e4bd782284e0bcf1
35/ Hedge against Inflation - has a total supply of just 14.6 million, no inflation, no new tokens minted and no huge % of tokens controlled by the team waiting to be released. Circulating supply is 12 Million which will reduce over time with QNT being locked up for licenses
36/ Whether it's #Bitcoin, Stable Coins, #DeFi, Central Bank Digital Currencies that come out on top or a combination of all, @quant_network is working with them all, connecting , , and working with multiple Central Banks all leading to more demand / usage of
37/ @Overledger has been designed to be future proof by not being a blockchain itself and performing #interoperability at a layer above, learning from what made TCP/IP so dominant after 40+ years. Whether it be Blockchain 1.0, 2.0, 3.0.. it doesnt matter,$QNT can connect them all
38/ Whether it be Permissioned or Permissionless Blockchains, @Overledger can connect them all. Currently $BTC, $ETH, $XRP(L), $EOS, $XLM, $IOTA, $DAG, #Corda, #Hyperledger, #Qurorum. $QNT is one of very few tokens that are needed even in a Permissioned Enterprise environment.
39/ Sustainable Business Model - Earning revenue (on track for $10 million last year), moving into an office twice the size in the UK and currently hiring 6 additional employees and expanding to other parts of the world despite the uncertainty many are facing.
40/ is needed for licenses, consumption fees, gateways (staking for higher throughput), signing of messages on #Overledger, minimum holdings of QNT.will be locked up reducing circulating supply so not just bought then immediately sold and needed by all inc enterprises
41/ Provides what all projects need - true scalable #interoperability not just between blockchains but legacy systems as well. With no added overhead of an additional consensus mechanism, doesn't impose restrictions or require connected chains to fork their code. Anybody can join
https://preview.redd.it/eq11fnjqwz751.png?width=679&format=png&auto=webp&s=3079aafd7c0717c878b10edf5819cee6d428e13e
43/ For Tokenomics see @quant_network's Utility Paper https://bit.ly/2xc25mA and @DavidW___'s article https://medium.com/@davW/a-deeper-look-into-the-quant-network-utility-token-qnt-valuation-dynamics-and-fundamentals-84633ca7cb58
https://twitter.com/CryptoSeq/status/1277555274405068801
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1277555274405068801.html
submitted by xSeq22x to QuantNetwork [link] [comments]

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